Result
1:0
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports 3 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (306/363) | 88% (324/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (306/363) | 88% (324/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (36/69) | 59% (22/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 72% (73/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Troya R. 🟥,
- 27', Baralhas 🟨,
- 34', Jamerson 🟨,
- 37', Ze Marcos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ze Marcos ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 46', Londono A. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
- 63', Janderson ↓, Erick ↑,
- 66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
- 66', Diaz I. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Baralhas (Own goal),
- 79', Moreno L. 🟨,
- 80', Baralhas ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 80', Lucas Braga ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 83', Anangono G. ↓, Jhon Chancellor ↑,
- 83', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 40% | Draw 29.6% | Vitória Salvador 30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↓ (2.52) |
3.21 ↑ (3.11) |
3.07 ↑ (2.89) |
6.2% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Uni Católica is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Vitória Salvador?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
02.04.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:1
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)