Result
1:0
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (306/363) | 88% (324/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (306/363) | 88% (324/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (36/69) | 59% (22/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 72% (73/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Troya R. 🟥,
- 27', Baralhas 🟨,
- 34', Jamerson 🟨,
- 37', Ze Marcos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ze Marcos ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 46', Londono A. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
- 63', Janderson ↓, Erick ↑,
- 66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
- 66', Diaz I. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Baralhas (Own goal),
- 79', Moreno L. 🟨,
- 80', Baralhas ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 80', Lucas Braga ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 83', Anangono G. ↓, Jhon Chancellor ↑,
- 83', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
40% | Draw
29.6% | Vitória Salvador
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.52) |
3.21 ↑
(3.11) |
3.07 ↑
(2.89) |
6.2%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Uni Católica is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Vitória Salvador?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
02.04.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:1
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | TBD #1 | U. Catolica | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | Independiente | |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | Cienciano | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | Godoy Cruz | |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
