Result
4:0
11/05/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 82 | 90 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 29 | 45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Samu ⚽,
- 9', Rodrigo Pinho 🟨,
- 14', Anderson Jesus 🟨,
- 31', Hevertton S. ↓, Jean Felipe ↑,
- 38', Lima R. ↓, Kikas ↑,
- 38', Mendes P. ↓, Varela N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Ndo R. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Soro A. ⚽,
- 59', Lacava M. ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
- 59', Sa P. ↓, Oakley-Boothe T. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, Matheus Pereira ⚽,
- 71', Ndo R. 🟨,
- 75', Ruberto F. 🟨,
- 76', Lokilo J. ↓, Oliveira H. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 0, Oliveira H. ⚽,
- 86', Soro A. ↓, Ba-Sy A. ↑,
- 86', Samu ↓, Busnic A. ↑,
- 90+2', Ortiz P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vizela 27.6% | Draw 26.1% | Estrela da Amadora 46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Vizela - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.42 ↑ (3.08) |
3.62 ↑ (3.33) |
2.05 ↓ (2.32) |
5.7% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vizela - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 15).
- Vizela is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
- Vizela has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Estrela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Vizela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Estrela will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Vizela won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vizela won against Estrela da Amadora?
Vizela has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Vizela?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vizela - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
06.01.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vizela
1:1
24.11.2023
Vizela
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2