Volta Redonda vs Tombense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
15/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
93
Corner kicks
71
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
01
Total shots
186
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
93
Corner kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Vitinho ,
  • 31', Matheus Chaves , Dyego ,
  • 33', Julio Henrique , Almeida da Silva K. D. ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Keliton ,
  • 42', Wanderson 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Rubens , Juanzin ,
  • 46', Du Fernandes , Marquinhos ,
  • 46', Romarinho , Luciano Naninho ,
  • 46', Rafael Castro , Wagninho ,
  • 46', Vitinho , Breno Roma ,
  • 52', Wagninho 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Wagninho ,
  • 59', Keliton , Silvano ,
  • 66', Juninho Monteiro , Jean Victor ,
  • 71', Caio Henrique , Blanco O. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Luciano Naninho ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Rafael Furtado ,

Chances of winning


Volta Redonda
40.3%
Draw
29.5%
Tombense
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 27.6% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 30.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volta Redonda's form might have worsened.
  • Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tombense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+17%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volta Redonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tombense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Volta Redonda - Tombense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (1.76)
    3.23
    (3.28)
    3.15
    (4.29)
    5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 2.
    • Volta Redonda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tombense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Volta Redonda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Volta Redonda is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Volta Redonda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Volta Redonda - Tombense were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Volta Redonda - Tombense 1:1
    Latest results of Volta Redonda
    Latest results of Tombense
    11.04.2026 Tombense - Porto SC 3:0
    04.04.2026 Vitória ES - Tombense 0:1
    25.03.2026 Tombense - Avaí 3:2
    Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias53115:2310
    2Chapecoense-SC53116:4210
    3Novorizontino52216:428
    4Cianorte52217:708
    5Sampaio Correa FE51227:705
    6Tombense512210:11-15


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Volta Redonda53118:6210
    2Operario-PR52304:229
    3Avai52128:807
    4America MG51228:9-15
    5Sao Bernardo50235:8-32
    6Juventude50142:8-61

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