Result
2:2
19/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 38
- Referee: Serafim D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (368/426) | 79% (254/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.06 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (368/426) | 79% (254/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (132/170) | 57% (29/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (10/43) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 4.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 2.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Dener ⚽,
- 38', Adsson 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Emerson Urso ⚽,
- 42', Gustavo Paje 🟨,
- 44', Caio Roque 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Emerson Urso ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 57', Andrey L. ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 57', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 66', Avelino 🟨,
- 66', Adsson ↓, Lyncon ↑,
- 66', Daniel Cabral ↓, Caetano ↑,
- 67', Lucas Ramires 🟨,
- 70', Enzo ↓, Ralf ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Lucas Ramires ⚽, Caio Roque (A),
- 75', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 76', Willian Formiga ↓, Henrique Soares L. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Gustavo Paje ⚽, Weverton (A),
- 86', Dener ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 86', Ygor Catatau ↓, Kerlinho ↑,
- 89', Igor Morais 🟨,
- 90+4', Thalys 🟨,
- 90+5', Lucas Ramires 🟨,
- 90+8', Joao Pedro ↓, Kaua Uba ↑,
- 90+10', Gustavo Paje 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
52.4% | Draw
28.7% | Volta Redonda
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Vila Nova - Volta Redonda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.85) |
3.26 ↓
(3.29) |
4.78 ↑
(4.43) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Volta Redonda?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Vila Nova (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Vila Nova (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Vila Nova (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Volta Redonda (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Volta Redonda is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
- Vila Nova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Volta Redonda has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Vila Nova is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Bruno Mendes
(Inactive)
Elias
(Yellow Cards)
Higor
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
Pedro Romano
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Volta Redonda: Bruno Barra
(Yellow Cards)
Chay
(Inactive)
Du Fernandes
(Knee Injury)
Fabricio
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Guilherme Parede
(Muscle Injury)
Junior Todinho
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Ygor Catatau
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Nova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Volta Redonda?
Vila Nova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against Vila Nova?
Volta Redonda has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Volta Redonda were as follows:
27.07.2025
Volta Redonda
-
Vila Nova
2:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
