Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 19
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (299/350) | 84% (397/471) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (299/350) | 84% (397/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (59/84) | 62% (79/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Italo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Paje G. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
- 46', Bruno Xavier ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, MV ⚽, Italo (A),
- 60', Arilson ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 60', Junior Todinho ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
- 60', PK ↓, Chay ↑,
- 78', Sanchez 🟨,
- 79', Pierre ↓, Henrique Silva ↑,
- 79', Sanchez ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
- 79', Dodo ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 79', Rai ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Gabriel Poveda ⚽, Walisson Maia (A),
- 88', Italo ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
Chances of winning
Volta Redonda
42.5% | Draw
31.2% | Vila Nova
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Volta Redonda - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.39) |
2.99 ↓
(3.08) |
3.57 ↑
(2.99) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Volta Redonda - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
Volta Redonda will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).
- Volta Redonda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vila Nova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Volta Redonda might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes
(Inactive)
Lucas Adell
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Tiago Pagnussat
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Elias
(Injury)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
Tiago Pagnussat
(Injury)
Vinicius Paiva
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against Vila Nova?
Volta Redonda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Volta Redonda?
Vila Nova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Volta Redonda - Vila Nova were as follows:
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
