Volta Redonda vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Volta Redonda - Vila Nova
Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 19
  • Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.00
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
85% (299/350)84% (397/471)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.021.19
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
85% (299/350)84% (397/471)
Long passes
58% (28/48)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
70% (59/84)62% (79/127)
Crosses
27% (4/15)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.41
Throw-ins
1120
Fouls
1916
Tackles
45% (5/11)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
3420
Interceptions
716
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.192.02
Goals prevented
0.190.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Italo ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Paje G. , Guilherme Parede ,
  • 46', Bruno Xavier , Andre Luis ,
  • 55', 2 - 0, MV , Italo (A),
  • 60', Arilson , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 60', Junior Todinho , Igor Henrique ,
  • 60', PK , Chay ,
  • 78', Sanchez 🟨,
  • 79', Pierre , Henrique Silva ,
  • 79', Sanchez , Juninho Monteiro ,
  • 79', Dodo , Gabriel Poveda ,
  • 79', Rai , Leo Ceara ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Gabriel Poveda , Walisson Maia (A),
  • 88', Italo , Gabriel Pinheiro ,

Chances of winning


Volta Redonda
42.5%
Draw
31.2%
Vila Nova
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 30.2% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Volta Redonda - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.39)
    2.99
    (3.08)
    3.57
    (2.99)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Volta Redonda - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: Volta Redonda will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).
    • Volta Redonda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vila Nova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Volta Redonda might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Lucas Adell (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive) Jean Mota (Inactive) Tiago Pagnussat (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Marquinhos (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Elias (Injury) Marcondes (Knee Injury) Tiago Pagnussat (Injury) Vinicius Paiva (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Volta Redonda
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    22.07.2025 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 2:0
    19.07.2025 Avaí - Vila Nova 1:1
    06.07.2025 Ferroviária - Vila Nova 1:3
    22.06.2025 Amazonas - Vila Nova 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC231031022:22033
    9Operario-PR2496926:23333
    10Cuiaba2396827:27033
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2389630:23733
    13Atletico GO24710726:26031
    14Ferroviaria2379725:24130
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Amazonas24591025:34-924
    18Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    19America MG23641323:32-922
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )