Result
1:0
02/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/324) | 84% (449/536) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/324) | 84% (449/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 76% (115/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Hytonen T. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
- 64', Kanga J. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
- 66', Dekker T. ↓, Jakonen O. ↑,
- 66', Vahtera J. ↓, Lakkamaki J. ↑,
- 84', Stjopin M. 🟨,
- 89', Stjopin M. ↓, Aspegren F. ↑,
- 89', Soderback M. ↓, Maenpaa A. ↑,
- 90', Borchers M. ↓, Fleuriau N. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Fleuriau N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
VPS Vaasa
29.5% | Draw
25.1% | Ilves
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
VPS Vaasa - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↓
(3.25) |
3.78 ↑
(3.5) |
2.08 ↑
(1.9) |
5.5%
(12%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1.
- VPS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ilves is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in VPS: Ahiabu P.
(Red Card)
Borchers M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ilves: Moisio J.
(Injury)
Ulundu V.
(Injury)
Virtanen O.
(Red Card)
Wallius K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against Ilves?
VPS Vaasa has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against VPS Vaasa?
Ilves has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - Ilves were as follows:
15.02.2025
Ilves
-
VPS Vaasa
1:0
04.10.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
Ilves
0:2
21.07.2024
Ilves
-
VPS Vaasa
3:2
07.06.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
Ilves
1:1
23.03.2024
Ilves
-
VPS Vaasa
1:2
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | Ilves | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32:16 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | SJK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | HJK | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30:17 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | VPS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 8 | Haka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 15 |
| 10 | Jaro | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | KTP | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:33 | -19 | 9 |
| 12 | AC Oulu | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of VPS Vaasa - Ilves?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
