Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (309/400) | 77% (275/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (309/400) | 77% (275/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (77/120) | 50% (27/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Jatta M. ⚽, Lehtonen J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Daoussi Y. 🟨,
- 68', Daoussi Y. ↓, Dekker T. ↑,
- 68', Engstrom J. ↓, Fleuriau N. ↑,
- 72', Ojala M. ↓, Paananen A. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Korkko J. ⚽,
- 77', Ghezali L. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
- 77', Korkko J. ↓, Jatta K. ↑,
- 77', Wilson W. ↓, Lindeman S. ↑,
- 86', Jokelainen N. ↓, Harrison S. ↑,
- 86', Lehtonen J. ↓, Babb M. ↑,
- 88', El Ouatki Y. ↓, Myntti A. ↑,
- 88', Reid T. ↓, Wik A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oulu
45.9% | Draw
26% | VPS Vaasa
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oulu's performance.VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VPS Vaasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oulu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oulu - VPS Vaasa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.37) |
3.73 ↓
(3.76) |
3.52 ↑
(2.76) |
2.6%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oulu - VPS Vaasa?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). VPS will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Oulu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). VPS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Injury)
Say S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in VPS: Ahiabu P.
(Yellow Cards)
Vahtera J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against VPS Vaasa?
Oulu has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against Oulu?
VPS Vaasa has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
05.04.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
Oulu
4:3
08.02.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
Oulu
2:1
17.01.2025
Oulu
-
VPS Vaasa
3:3
19.06.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
Oulu
1:1
27.04.2024
Oulu
-
VPS Vaasa
1:2
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 55:31 | 24 | 57 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 51:26 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Ilves | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 59:38 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | SJK | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 58:42 | 16 | 51 |
| 5 | HJK | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 67:40 | 27 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
