Oulu vs VPS Vaasa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga Oulu - VPS Vaasa
28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.93
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (258/332)80% (329/409)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.941.43
Total shots
127
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2717
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
78% (258/332)80% (329/409)
Long passes
31% (15/49)39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
70% (77/110)60% (54/90)
Crosses
20% (3/15)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.40
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1410
Tackles
72% (13/18)83% (15/18)
Duels won
4860
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.431.94
Goals prevented
0.43-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', Jokelainen N. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Fleuriau N. (Pen),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Rennicks J. , Kaukua T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Dekker T. 🟨,
  • 51', Pitkanen M. 🟨,
  • 53', Tiihonen O. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Rennicks J. ,
  • 62', Silander S. , Lehtonen J. ,
  • 65', Engstrom J. , Cicale A. ,
  • 70', Reid T. , Raisanen A. ,
  • 70', Dekker T. , Niemi M. ,
  • 72', Ojala M. , Silas C. ,
  • 84', Rennicks J. , Salmensuu O. ,
  • 85', Jokelainen N. , Paananen A. ,
  • 88', El Ouatki Y. , Etok M. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oulu
33.5%
Draw
28.4%
VPS Vaasa
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 27.2% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 27.2% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Oulu - VPS Vaasa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.92)
    3.3
    (3.5)
    2.46
    (2.37)
    6.7%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Oulu - VPS Vaasa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Oulu (votes: 1 - 25%). VPS (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Users Predictions: VPS Vaasa will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Oulu has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, VPS has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
    05.04.2025 VPS Vaasa - Oulu 4:3
    08.02.2025 VPS Vaasa - Oulu 2:1
    17.01.2025 Oulu - VPS Vaasa 3:3
    19.06.2024 VPS Vaasa - Oulu 1:1
    27.04.2024 Oulu - VPS Vaasa 1:2
    Latest results of Oulu
    24.06.2025 Oulu - SJK 2:0
    18.06.2025 FF Jaro - Oulu 2:1
    14.06.2025 Oulu - HJK 0:4
    10.06.2025 Oulu - PK-35 Vantaa 2:1
    31.05.2025 Oulu - SJK 2:2
    Latest results of VPS Vaasa
    18.06.2025 VPS Vaasa - Gnistan 0:0
    14.06.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    11.06.2025 FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    31.05.2025 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    28.05.2025 P-Iirot Rauma - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku22137246:202646
    2Ilves22143547:272045
    3HJK22142659:293044
    4KuPS22135439:231644
    5SJK22125545:311441
    6Gnistan2277834:39-528
    7VPS2267932:34-225
    8Jaro22741125:36-1125
    9Mariehamn22561125:48-2321
    10AC Oulu22531430:48-1818
    11Haka22441427:43-1616
    12KTP22351424:55-3114

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )