Result
4:1
21/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 14
- Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (288/403) | 64% (157/245) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (288/403) | 64% (157/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/63) | 25% (14/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (47/103) | 46% (41/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 3.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Jagusic A. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Mitrovic J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Koeberle S. ↓, Cabrajic K. ↑,
- 53', Agbekpornu M. 🟨,
- 54', Gonzalez R. (Pen),
- 58', Agbekpornu M. ↓, Liber A. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Covic I. (Own goal),
- 67', Covic I. 🟨,
- 70', Banovec L. ↓, Simmonds K. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 1, Jagusic A. ⚽,
- 78', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 79', 4 - 1, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Suto A. (A),
- 82', Mitrovic J. ↓, Sivalec G. ↑,
- 85', Shabani E. ↓, Pilj M. ↑,
- 85', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Biljan J. ↑,
- 86', Pavicic K. ↓, Mulac D. ↑,
- 89', Biljan J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jurilj A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Suto A. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
- 90+2', Jagusic A. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
- 90+2', Nestorovski I. ↓, Qestaj E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
51.6% | Draw
27.7% | Vukovar 91
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Slaven Belupo - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.6) |
3.41 ↓
(3.55) |
4.73 ↓
(5.7) |
6.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Vukovar 91?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slaven Belupo: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Slaven Belupo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 9).
- Slaven Belupo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Vukovar 91 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Slaven Belupo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A.
(Injury)
Markovic M.
(Inactive)
Puljic J.
(Yellow Cards)
Tadic M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Mitrovic J.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Slaven Belupo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Vukovar 91?
Slaven Belupo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Slaven Belupo?
Vukovar 91 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
30.08.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Slaven Belupo
1:2
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 36:16 | 20 | 35 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Istra 1961 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Gorica | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:28 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 | Osijek | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
