Waalwijk vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
09/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 15
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.90
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2418
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
88% (466/528)79% (248/312)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.134.55
Total shots
2418
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1512
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
4536
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
98
Passes
88% (466/528)79% (248/312)
Long passes
71% (32/45)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
83% (135/162)77% (87/113)
Crosses
21% (7/34)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.041.32
Throw-ins
229
Fouls
89
Tackles
62% (8/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
942
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
4.552.13
Goals prevented
0.551.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Boersma B. , Symons K. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Symons K. , Simons J. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 3, El Kadiri I. , Bultman S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', van der Venne R. 🟨,
  • 63', Held N. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 63', van der Venne R. , Lokesa C. ,
  • 68', Boersma B. 🟨,
  • 71', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 73', Wouters L. 🟨,
  • 75', Roemeratoe G. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 76', van Kaam D. , Kuster H. ,
  • 78', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 78', Boersma B. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 85', Gijselhart T. , de Jong F. ,
  • 86', Niemeijer R. , Braem T. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, van der Leij T. , Kuijpers R. (A),
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, van der Heide A. , de Jong F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
21.5%
Draw
24.1%
De Graafschap
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 24.2% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.9% 31.8%

Waalwijk - De Graafschap Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.64
(2.14)
6.35
(3.85)
2.59
(2.89)
-32.5%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
    • Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Waalwijk could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    02.11.2025 Emmen - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 3:2
    24.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:2
    20.10.2025 Dordrecht - Waalwijk 1:2
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    31.10.2025 Den Bosch - De Graafschap 1:2
    28.10.2025 GVVV - De Graafschap 4:2
    24.10.2025 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 3:2
    18.10.2025 De Graafschap - FC Oss 1:1
    11.10.2025 Cambuur - De Graafschap 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag15131143:133040
    2Cambuur17114239:211837
    3Jong PSV1684433:27628
    4Roda1575326:21526
    5Den Bosch1682633:32126
    6Willem II1775522:25-326
    7De Graafschap1574428:22625
    8Waalwijk1665527:26123
    9Venlo1670922:22021
    10Dordrecht1656519:19021
    11FC Emmen1663727:29-221
    12Helmond1661922:25-319
    13Eindhoven FC1753918:34-1618
    14Almere City1652930:28217
    15Jong AZ1652924:29-517
    16Jong Utrecht1645721:27-617
    17Oss1637619:28-916
    18Maastricht1643919:32-1315
    19Jong Ajax1616921:33-129
    20Vitesse1454525:2507

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )