Waalwijk vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
09/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 15
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.90
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2418
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
88% (466/528)79% (248/312)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.134.55
Total shots
2418
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1512
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
4536
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
98
Passes
88% (466/528)79% (248/312)
Long passes
71% (32/45)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
83% (135/162)77% (87/113)
Crosses
21% (7/34)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.041.32
Throw-ins
229
Fouls
89
Tackles
62% (8/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
942
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
4.552.13
Goals prevented
0.551.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Boersma B. , Symons K. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Symons K. , Simons J. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 3, El Kadiri I. , Bultman S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', van der Venne R. 🟨,
  • 63', Held N. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 63', van der Venne R. , Lokesa C. ,
  • 68', Boersma B. 🟨,
  • 71', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 73', Wouters L. 🟨,
  • 75', Roemeratoe G. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 76', van Kaam D. , Kuster H. ,
  • 78', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 78', Boersma B. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 85', Gijselhart T. , de Jong F. ,
  • 86', Niemeijer R. , Braem T. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, van der Leij T. , Kuijpers R. (A),
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, van der Heide A. , de Jong F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
21.5%
Draw
24.1%
De Graafschap
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 24.2% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.9% 31.8%

Waalwijk - De Graafschap Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.64
(2.14)
6.35
(3.85)
2.59
(2.89)
-32.5%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
    • Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Waalwijk could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    02.11.2025 Emmen - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 3:2
    24.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:2
    20.10.2025 Dordrecht - Waalwijk 1:2
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    31.10.2025 Den Bosch - De Graafschap 1:2
    28.10.2025 GVVV - De Graafschap 4:2
    24.10.2025 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 3:2
    18.10.2025 De Graafschap - FC Oss 1:1
    11.10.2025 Cambuur - De Graafschap 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag20171256:213552
    2Cambuur21145246:222447
    3De Graafschap21114642:33937
    4Roda2197536:30634
    5Jong PSV21104741:39234
    6Almere City21102945:351032
    7Den Bosch21102940:39132
    8Venlo211001128:30-230
    9Willem II2186727:30-330
    10Waalwijk2185833:33029
    11FC Emmen2184939:39028
    12Eindhoven FC21831029:41-1227
    13Jong Utrecht2175933:37-426
    14Dordrecht2166926:31-524
    15Helmond21731129:36-724
    16Maastricht21641125:40-1522
    17Jong AZ21621332:43-1120
    18Oss2148926:37-1120
    19Vitesse2075831:33-214
    20Jong Ajax21261327:42-1512

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )