Waalwijk vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
09/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 15
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.90
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2418
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
88% (466/528)79% (248/312)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.134.55
Total shots
2418
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1512
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
4536
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
98
Passes
88% (466/528)79% (248/312)
Long passes
71% (32/45)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
83% (135/162)77% (87/113)
Crosses
21% (7/34)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.041.32
Throw-ins
229
Fouls
89
Tackles
62% (8/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
942
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
4.552.13
Goals prevented
0.551.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Boersma B. , Symons K. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Symons K. , Simons J. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 3, El Kadiri I. , Bultman S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', van der Venne R. 🟨,
  • 63', Held N. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 63', van der Venne R. , Lokesa C. ,
  • 68', Boersma B. 🟨,
  • 71', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 73', Wouters L. 🟨,
  • 75', Roemeratoe G. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 76', van Kaam D. , Kuster H. ,
  • 78', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 78', Boersma B. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 85', Gijselhart T. , de Jong F. ,
  • 86', Niemeijer R. , Braem T. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, van der Leij T. , Kuijpers R. (A),
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, van der Heide A. , de Jong F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
21.5%
Draw
24.1%
De Graafschap
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 24.2% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.9% 31.8%

Waalwijk - De Graafschap Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.64
(2.14)
6.35
(3.85)
2.59
(2.89)
-32.5%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
    • Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Waalwijk could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    02.11.2025 Emmen - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 3:2
    24.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:2
    20.10.2025 Dordrecht - Waalwijk 1:2
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    31.10.2025 Den Bosch - De Graafschap 1:2
    28.10.2025 GVVV - De Graafschap 4:2
    24.10.2025 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 3:2
    18.10.2025 De Graafschap - FC Oss 1:1
    11.10.2025 Cambuur - De Graafschap 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag18161151:163549
    2Cambuur19125241:221941
    3De Graafschap19104537:28934
    4Jong PSV1994637:35231
    5Den Bosch1992838:38029
    6Willem II1985625:27-229
    7Roda1977530:27328
    8Almere City1982938:31726
    9Waalwijk2075831:33-226
    10FC Emmen1974833:34-125
    11Dordrecht1966722:24-224
    12Venlo19801124:29-524
    13Helmond19721026:30-423
    14Jong Utrecht1965828:33-523
    15Eindhoven FC19631022:36-1421
    16Jong AZ19621129:36-720
    17Oss1948721:30-920
    18Maastricht19541023:35-1219
    19Vitesse1975731:31014
    20Jong Ajax19261126:38-1212

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          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )