Result
3:1
10/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 32
- Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.36 | 0.91 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
84% (335/399) | 83% (333/402) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.36 | 0.91 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.51 | 0.76 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
84% (335/399) | 83% (333/402) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (25/55) | 51% (28/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (68/87) | 60% (58/96) |
Crosses |
---|
39% (9/23) | 13% (2/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.23 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (12/20) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.76 | 2.51 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.24 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Margaret R. ⚽,
- 16', Linday M. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 1, Nicolaescu I. (Pen),
- 43', Braude O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Sebaoui I. 🟥,
- 67', Trenskow J. ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
- 71', Van Gelderen L. 🟨,
- 72', van Eijma R. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 72', Zawada O. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
- 72', van de Loo T. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
- 74', Nicolaescu I. ↓, Jansen K. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Oukili Y. ⚽, Lokesa C. (A),
- 79', 3 - 1, Lokesa C. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
- 80', Lokesa C. 🟨,
- 87', Oukili Y. ↓, Vroegh P. ↑,
- 87', Ihattaren M. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk 28.7% | Draw 24.4% | Heerenveen 46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heerenveen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heerenveen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Waalwijk - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.36 ↑ (2.81) |
3.93 ↑ (3.7) |
2.03 ↓ (2.31) |
4.5% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heerenveen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
- Waalwijk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Heerenveen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Heerenveen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Takidine I.
(Inactive)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Brouwers L.
(Yellow Cards)
Milovanovic M.
(Injury)
Nunnely C.
(Inactive)
de Wijs J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Weidmann D.
(Injury)
Wouters L.
(Inactive)
Zawada O.
(Inactive)
van der Venne R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Petrov H.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Heerenveen?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Waalwijk?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Heerenveen were as follows:
29.11.2024
Heerenveen
-
Waalwijk
1:1
30.03.2024
Waalwijk
-
Heerenveen
1:1
12.08.2023
Heerenveen
-
Waalwijk
3:1
25.02.2023
Heerenveen
-
Waalwijk
1:4
07.01.2023
Waalwijk
-
Heerenveen
0:0
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie