Heerenveen vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
15/01/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KNVB Beker - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.190.79
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
74
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
93
Passes
86% (601/696)74% (223/301)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.190.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.611.03
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
159
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
4516
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free kicks
108
Passes
86% (601/696)74% (223/301)
Long passes
51% (21/41)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
79% (210/266)61% (31/51)
Crosses
22% (5/23)71% (5/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.990.48
Throw ins
1622
Fouls
810
Tackles
70% (14/20)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
934
Interceptions
719
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.032.61
Goals prevented
0.03-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Trenskow J. , Brouwers L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', Cleonise D. , Witteveen M. ,
  • 61', Oyen L. , Rivera M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Uneken J. ,
  • 68', Witteveen M. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Braude O. , Zagaritis V. (A),
  • 76', Uneken J. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 76', van Gelderen L. , Postma L. ,
  • 80', Vente D. , Nordas L. ,
  • 80', Brouwers L. , van Axel Dongen A. ,
  • 83', Lokesa C. , Kramer M. ,
  • 83', Roemeratoe G. , Held N. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Trenskow J. , Rivera M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Heerenveen
72.3%
Draw
17.5%
Waalwijk
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 20.8% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 19.6% 11.8%

Heerenveen - Waalwijk Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.3
(1.4)
5.29
(4.5)
9.06
(7.5)
6.9%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Waalwijk (6.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 50%). Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.
    • Heerenveen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Waalwijk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Heerenveen is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Waalwijk were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Waalwijk - Heerenveen 3:1
    29.11.2024 Heerenveen - Waalwijk 1:1
    30.03.2024 Waalwijk - Heerenveen 1:1
    12.08.2023 Heerenveen - Waalwijk 3:1
    25.02.2023 Heerenveen - Waalwijk 1:4
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    11.01.2026 Heerenveen - Feyenoord 2:2
    06.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Heerenveen Canceled
    17.12.2025 Feyenoord - Heerenveen 2:3
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2
    18.12.2025 HSC 21 - Waalwijk 0:9
    10.12.2025 Vitesse - Waalwijk 2:1
    05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2
    01.12.2025 Jong PSV - Waalwijk 3:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1HelmondBye
    4ByeZwolle
    8ByeAZ Alkmaar
    9AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    10ByeExcelsior Maassluis
    12ByeExcelsior
    16ByeAjax
    17WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    18ByeHardenberg
    20ByeOss
    24ByeUtrecht
    25USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    26ByeSpakenburg
    27ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    28TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    29RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    30SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    32ByeTwente
    33SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    34GemertHuizen2 : 1
    36ByeSittard
    37Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    38KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    40ByeAlmere City
    41HoekRijnvogels6 : 4
    42Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    44ByeEindhoven FC
    45LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    46VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    48ByeTelstar
    49VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    50ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    52ByeRoda
    56ByeG.A. Eagles
    57NAC BredaBye
    60ByeHeracles
    61De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    62HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    64ByeFC Emmen
    65TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    66SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    67Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    68ByeBarendrecht
    69De TreffersBye
    70ByeRKAV Volendam
    72ByeMaastricht
    73EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    74EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    76ByeAFC
    77Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    80ByeNijmegen
    81Willem IIBye
    84ByeDordrecht
    85Sparta RotterdamBye
    88ByeGroningen
    89Quick BoysBye
    92ByeFC Volendam
    93HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    94IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    95HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    96AWCASWH0 : 2
    97Den BoschBye
    100ByeDen Haag
    101KatwijkBye
    104ByeVitesse
    105PSVBye
    109ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    110ByeGVVV
    112ByeDe Graafschap
    113FeyenoordBye
    117VenloBye
    120ByeHeerenveen
    121Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    122't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    123HFCBye
    124UNAARC1 : 2
    125WaalwijkBye
    128ByeCambuur

    1/64-finals
    1HelmondBye
    2ByeZwolle
    4ByeAZ Alkmaar
    5HZVV HoogeveenExcelsior Maassluis1 : 5
    6ByeExcelsior
    8ByeAjax
    9NoordwijkHardenberg0 : 2
    10ByeOss
    12ByeUtrecht
    13USV HerculesSpakenburg1 : 3
    14VV DOVOTEC1 : 0
    15RaalteDVS '33 Ermelo1 : 0
    16ByeTwente
    17MeerssenGemert0 : 1
    18ByeSittard
    19Sparta NijkerkKloetinge4 : 3
    20ByeAlmere City
    21HoekBlauw Geel1 : 0
    22ByeEindhoven FC
    23LisseUrk4 : 1
    24ByeTelstar
    25CapelleScheveningen5 : 1
    26ByeRoda
    28ByeG.A. Eagles
    29NAC BredaBye
    30ByeHeracles
    31VV ScherpenzeelHoogeveen3 : 4
    32ByeFC Emmen
    33UDI'19Sportlust0 : 1
    34Kozakken BoysBarendrecht2 : 3
    35De TreffersRKAV Volendam6 : 3
    36ByeMaastricht
    37EemdijkExcelsior 312 : 1
    38ByeAFC
    39Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    40ByeNijmegen
    41Willem IIBye
    42ByeDordrecht
    43Sparta RotterdamBye
    44ByeGroningen
    45Quick BoysBye
    46ByeFC Volendam
    47Groene SterGenemuiden1 : 2
    48HalsterenASWH3 : 2
    49Den BoschBye
    50ByeDen Haag
    51KatwijkBye
    52ByeVitesse
    53PSVBye
    55RoosendaalGVVV0 : 1
    56ByeDe Graafschap
    57FeyenoordBye
    59VenloBye
    60ByeHeerenveen
    61HSC '21't Zand3 : 1
    62HFCARC5 : 0
    63WaalwijkBye
    64ByeCambuur

    1/32-finals
    1HelmondZwolle1 : 4
    2ByeAZ Alkmaar
    3Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior1 : 0
    4ByeAjax
    5HardenbergOss0 : 2
    6ByeUtrecht
    7SpakenburgVV DOVO5 : 1
    8RaalteTwente1 : 4
    9GemertSittard0 : 1
    10Sparta NijkerkAlmere City0 : 2
    11HoekEindhoven FC3 : 2
    12LisseTelstar0 : 5
    13CapelleRoda1 : 5
    14ByeG.A. Eagles
    15NAC BredaHeracles1 : 4
    16HoogeveenFC Emmen1 : 0
    17SportlustBarendrecht1 : 0
    18De TreffersMaastricht3 : 1
    19EemdijkAFC1 : 2
    20Rijnsburgse BoysNijmegen2 : 3
    21Willem IIDordrecht7 : 0
    22Sparta RotterdamGroningen5 : 2
    23Quick BoysFC Volendam1 : 2
    24GenemuidenHalsteren1 : 0
    25Den BoschDen Haag4 : 3
    26KatwijkVitesse2 : 1
    27PSVBye
    28GVVVDe Graafschap4 : 2
    29FeyenoordBye
    30VenloHeerenveen0 : 3
    31HSC '21HFC3 : 0
    32WaalwijkCambuur3 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ZwolleAZ Alkmaar1 : 3
    2Excelsior MaassluisAjax2 : 7
    3OssUtrecht0 : 2
    4SpakenburgTwente3 : 6
    5SittardAlmere City2 : 3
    6HoekTelstar1 : 4
    7RodaG.A. Eagles1 : 2
    8HeraclesHoogeveen4 : 1
    9SportlustDe Treffers0 : 1
    10AFCNijmegen1 : 3
    11Willem IISparta Rotterdam1 : 5
    12FC VolendamGenemuiden2 : 0
    13Den BoschKatwijk2 : 1
    14PSVGVVV3 : 0
    15FeyenoordHeerenveen2 : 3
    16HSC '21Waalwijk0 : 9

    1/8-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarAjax6 : 0
    2UtrechtTwente1 : 2
    3Almere CityTelstar1 : 3
    4G.A. EaglesHeracles3 : 2
    5De TreffersNijmegen1 : 2
    6Sparta RotterdamFC Volendam1 : 2
    7Den BoschPSV1 : 4
    8HeerenveenWaalwijk3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarTwente2 : 1
    2TelstarG.A. Eagles2 : 1
    3NijmegenFC Volendam1 : 0
    4PSVHeerenveen4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarTelstar
    2NijmegenPSV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2