Result
3:1
10/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 32
- Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (335/399) | 83% (333/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (335/399) | 83% (333/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (68/87) | 60% (58/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Margaret R. ⚽,
- 16', Linday M. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 1, Nicolaescu I. (Pen),
- 43', Braude O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Sebaoui I. 🟥,
- 67', Trenskow J. ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
- 71', Van Gelderen L. 🟨,
- 72', van Eijma R. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 72', Zawada O. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
- 72', van de Loo T. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
- 74', Nicolaescu I. ↓, Jansen K. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Oukili Y. ⚽, Lokesa C. (A),
- 79', 3 - 1, Lokesa C. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
- 80', Lokesa C. 🟨,
- 87', Oukili Y. ↓, Vroegh P. ↑,
- 87', Ihattaren M. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
28.7% | Draw
24.4% | Heerenveen
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heerenveen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heerenveen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Waalwijk - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↑
(2.81) |
3.93 ↑
(3.7) |
2.03 ↓
(2.31) |
4.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heerenveen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
- Waalwijk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Heerenveen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Heerenveen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Takidine I.
(Inactive)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Brouwers L.
(Yellow Cards)
Milovanovic M.
(Injury)
Nunnely C.
(Inactive)
de Wijs J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Weidmann D.
(Injury)
Wouters L.
(Inactive)
Zawada O.
(Inactive)
van der Venne R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Petrov H.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Heerenveen?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Waalwijk?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Heerenveen were as follows:
29.11.2024
Heerenveen
-
Waalwijk
1:1
30.03.2024
Waalwijk
-
Heerenveen
1:1
12.08.2023
Heerenveen
-
Waalwijk
3:1
25.02.2023
Heerenveen
-
Waalwijk
1:4
07.01.2023
Waalwijk
-
Heerenveen
0:0
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Telstar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
