Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Waalwijk - Jong Ajax
Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.62
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
86% (393/455)81% (299/370)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.021.24
Total shots
209
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
912
Passes
86% (393/455)81% (299/370)
Long passes
70% (31/44)39% (27/69)
Passes in final third
76% (115/151)69% (47/68)
Crosses
18% (5/28)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.39
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
129
Tackles
75% (12/16)55% (11/20)
Duels won
5150
Clearances
1427
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.242.02
Goals prevented
0.240.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', van Gelderen L. , Held N. ,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Cleonise D. , Altena J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kramer M. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 46', Johnson J. , van der Lans M. ,
  • 61', de Falco S. , Butera E. ,
  • 61', Ouazane Z. , Messori L. ,
  • 64', Cleonise D. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 72', Peters T. , Romers T. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, O'Niel D. , Wolff K. (A),
  • 78', Kasanwirjo K. , Kalokoh D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, van der Venne R. (Pen),
  • 86', van Hedel R. , Familia-Castillo J. ,
  • 86', van der Venne R. , Kuster H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
62.5%
Draw
19.9%
Jong Ajax
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 20.7% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 20.2% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Waalwijk - Jong Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.6)
    4.68
    (4.55)
    5.31
    (4.62)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Jong Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
    • Waalwijk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jong Ajax is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Waalwijk is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Lokesa C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Chourak N. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 2.1:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 3.2:3.2).
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    26.09.2025 Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    19.09.2025 Roda - Waalwijk 1:4
    16.09.2025 Waalwijk - Vitesse 1:1
    12.09.2025 Jong Utrecht - Waalwijk 2:0
    30.08.2025 Waalwijk - Almere City 2:0
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    26.09.2025 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 2:4
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    15.09.2025 Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    12.09.2025 Roda - Jong Ajax 3:3
    29.08.2025 Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht 0:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag11101033:72631
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Den Bosch1262423:25-220
    7Willem II1262415:19-420
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1242613:19-614
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )