Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 9
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (393/455) | 81% (299/370) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (393/455) | 81% (299/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (31/44) | 39% (27/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (115/151) | 69% (47/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', van Gelderen L. ↓, Held N. ↑,
- 19', 1 - 0, Cleonise D. ⚽, Altena J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kramer M. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 46', Johnson J. ↓, van der Lans M. ↑,
- 61', de Falco S. ↓, Butera E. ↑,
- 61', Ouazane Z. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
- 64', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 72', Peters T. ↓, Romers T. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, O'Niel D. ⚽, Wolff K. (A),
- 78', Kasanwirjo K. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, van der Venne R. (Pen),
- 86', van Hedel R. ↓, Familia-Castillo J. ↑,
- 86', van der Venne R. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
62.5% | Draw
19.9% | Jong Ajax
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Waalwijk - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.6) |
4.68 ↑
(4.55) |
5.31 ↑
(4.62) |
6.3%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
- Waalwijk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jong Ajax is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Waalwijk is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Lokesa C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Chourak N.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 2.1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 3.2:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Jong Ajax?
Waalwijk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Waalwijk?
Jong Ajax has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Jong Ajax were as follows:
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 33:7 | 26 | 31 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
