Result
0:2
22/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 21
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (338/411) | 84% (370/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (338/411) | 84% (370/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (78/108) | 83% (123/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 80% (20/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Cleonise D. ⚽,
- 44', Muzungu M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 2, Kuster H. ⚽,
- 58', Unuvar E. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 58', Wolff K. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
- 58', Johnson J. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
- 59', Peters T. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 60', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
- 60', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 61', Wouters L. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
- 77', Kuster H. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 78', Butera E. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
- 86', Altena J. ↓, Al Mazyani F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
22.3% | Draw
22.9% | Waalwijk
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waalwijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Ajax - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↑
(3.67) |
4.07 ↑
(3.85) |
1.71 ↓
(1.82) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 9 - 30%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 35.4% – 71.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 2 - 50%). Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Jong Ajax (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 3 - 60%). Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
- Jong Ajax has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Waalwijk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Waalwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Waalwijk is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Jong Ajax: Verkuijl M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F.
(Injury)
Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
van Gelderen L.
(Knock)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Waalwijk?
Jong Ajax has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Jong Ajax?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Waalwijk were as follows:
29.09.2025
Waalwijk
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
