Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 9
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.15 | 0.62 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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9 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 2 |
Passes |
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86% (393/455) | 81% (299/370) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.15 | 0.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.02 | 1.24 |
Total shots |
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20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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9 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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14 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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34 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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5 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 12 |
Passes |
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86% (393/455) | 81% (299/370) |
Long passes |
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70% (31/44) | 39% (27/69) |
Passes in final third |
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76% (115/151) | 69% (47/68) |
Crosses |
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18% (5/28) | 9% (1/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.10 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 12 |
Fouls |
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12 | 9 |
Tackles |
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75% (12/16) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
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51 | 50 |
Clearances |
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14 | 27 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
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1.24 | 2.02 |
Goals prevented |
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0.24 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', van Gelderen L. ↓, Held N. ↑,
- 19', 1 - 0, Cleonise D. ⚽, Altena J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kramer M. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 46', Johnson J. ↓, van der Lans M. ↑,
- 61', de Falco S. ↓, Butera E. ↑,
- 61', Ouazane Z. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
- 64', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 72', Peters T. ↓, Romers T. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, O'Niel D. ⚽, Wolff K. (A),
- 78', Kasanwirjo K. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, van der Venne R. (Pen),
- 86', van Hedel R. ↓, Familia-Castillo J. ↑,
- 86', van der Venne R. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk 62.5% | Draw 19.9% | Jong Ajax 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Waalwijk - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.6) |
4.68 ↑ (4.55) |
5.31 ↑ (4.62) |
6.3% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
- Waalwijk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jong Ajax is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Waalwijk is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Lokesa C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Chourak N.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 2.1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 3.2:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Jong Ajax?
Waalwijk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Waalwijk?
Jong Ajax has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Jong Ajax were as follows:
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )