Result
1:3
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 34
- Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (315/381) | 82% (382/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (315/381) | 82% (382/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 57% (34/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (93/132) | 76% (83/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', El Basri N. ↓, Jashari L. ↑,
- 24', 0 - 1, Uneken J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', Braken S. 🟨,
- 27', Zaian A. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 2, Kuster H. ⚽, Postma L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Boetius J-P. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
- 46', van Kempen M. ↓, Beydts A. ↑,
- 46', Klaasen R. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
- 68', Jashari L. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, de Jong T. ⚽, Van Dessel S. (A),
- 73', 1 - 3, Held N. ⚽,
- 74', Cleonise D. ↓, Bakboord N. ↑,
- 80', Silva Timas I. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
- 86', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 90', Kuster H. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 90+2', Zaian A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
19.3% | Draw
21% | Waalwijk
59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waalwijk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waalwijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.82 ↑
(3.62) |
4.5 ↑
(4.03) |
1.58 ↓
(1.83) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 0.
- Maastricht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Waalwijk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Waalwijk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Breugelmans I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
van Eijma R.
(Red Card)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Waalwijk?
MVV Maastricht has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against MVV Maastricht?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk were as follows:
25.11.2025
Waalwijk
-
MVV Maastricht
1:0
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
