Waldhof Mannheim vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 30
  • Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
03
Total shots
148
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
96
Corner kicks
45
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1510
Throw ins
1622
Fouls
1012

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Stefaniak M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Asallari K. , Bierschenk L. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Bierschenk L. ,
  • 56', Thill V. , Rieckmann J. ,
  • 77', Ehlers J. 🟨,
  • 78', Simnica L. 🟨,
  • 79', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Guttau J. ,
  • 85', Bar M. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Boyd T. , Hoffmann N. (A),
  • 90', Mannel M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Uhlmann E. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 90+4', Michel D. , Thalhammer M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waldhof Mannheim
44%
Draw
25.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 24.9% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 22.4% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waldhof Mannheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.03)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    3.05
    (3.17)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Waldhof Mannheim will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 4.
    • Recent performances by Waldhof have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aue has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Waldhof might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waldhof won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 0:2
    18.10.2024 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    18.05.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:0
    16.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    10.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:1
    Latest results of Waldhof Mannheim
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck30187550:262461
    2RW Essen301510561:491255
    3Verl30159670:412954
    4Duisburg30159654:411354
    5Cottbus30159655:441154
    6Hansa Rostock301411553:322153
    7Munich 186030147946:39749
    8Wehen301461042:33948
    9Mannheim301431349:54-545
    10Alemannia Aachen301351253:51244
    11Ingolstadt3010101050:41940
    12Regensburg301161342:45-339
    13Viktoria Koln301151441:41038
    14Stuttgart II301151436:49-1338
    15Hoffenheim II301051553:54-135
    16Saarbrucken307121140:46-633
    17Ulm30741939:62-2325
    18Aue30591634:54-2024
    19TSV Havelse30581743:69-2623
    20Schweinfurt30522329:69-4017

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