Erzgebirge Aue vs Waldhof Mannheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim
Result
0:2
17/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 11
  • Referee: Kabalakli C. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
79
Throw-ins
3519
Fouls
87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hoffmann N. , Ferati A. (A),
  • 42', Zobel T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Schmid M. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 48', Majetschak E. 🟨,
  • 53', Clausen M. 🟨,
  • 66', Masca , Shipnoski N. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Ferati A. ,
  • 72', Guttau J. , Tashchy B. ,
  • 72', Clausen M. , Ehlers J. ,
  • 72', Seidel P. , Malone R. ,
  • 74', Abifade S. , Yigit S. ,
  • 80', Simnica L. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 83', Ferati A. , Sechelmann T. ,
  • 84', Shipnoski N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
37%
Draw
27.1%
Waldhof Mannheim
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 27.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.1% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.38)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    2.65
    (2.72)
    6.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Waldhof will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    18.05.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:0
    16.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    10.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Waldhof Mannheim
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cottbus1282230:181226
    2Duisburg1173123:121124
    3Verl1264228:19922
    4VfL Osnabruck1264217:11622
    5Mannheim1261523:19419
    6Saarbrucken1254322:18419
    7RW Essen1154222:19319
    8Stuttgart II1253417:18-118
    9Hoffenheim II1152424:17717
    10Ingolstadt1245322:16617
    11Viktoria Koln1152416:11517
    12Wehen1244415:16-116
    13Munich 18601243518:21-315
    14Hansa Rostock1135311:12-114
    15Regensburg1242614:19-514
    16Alemannia Aachen1241719:22-313
    17Ulm1241718:25-713
    18Aue1132610:18-811
    19TSV Havelse1204815:29-144
    20Schweinfurt1210118:32-243

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