Result
2:1
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (274/400) | 62% (190/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (274/400) | 62% (190/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (26/77) | 23% (17/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (45/97) | 50% (67/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', Chang A. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
- 65', Hoilett J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
- 65', Ball J. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
- 66', Bodin B. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Jellis J. ⚽, Loupalo-Bi A. (A),
- 69', Loupalo-Bi A. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
- 74', Oldaker D. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
- 79', Barrett C. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 80', Clarke O. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Holman F. ⚽, Ripley C. (A),
- 85', Borland A. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
- 88', Flint A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽, Holman F. (A),
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
42.8% | Draw
28.4% | Walsall
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Swindon Town - Walsall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.9) |
3.28 ↓
(3.4) |
3.22 ↓
(3.7) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Walsall?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Walsall will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Walsall (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
- In recent matches, Swindon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Walsall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Walsall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Swindon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Clarke O.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Snowdon J.
(Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J.
(Inactive)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Walsall: Matt J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Walsall?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Swindon Town?
Walsall has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Walsall were as follows:
02.08.2025
Walsall
-
Swindon Town
2:1
01.03.2025
Walsall
-
Swindon Town
0:1
17.08.2024
Swindon Town
-
Walsall
0:4
16.04.2024
Walsall
-
Swindon Town
2:1
16.09.2023
Swindon Town
-
Walsall
2:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Walsall
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
