Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 34
- Referee: Ostrowski L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Cassio 🟨,
- 33', Podlinski K. 🟨,
- 37', Cassio 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Flis M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Dzieciol E. ↑,
- 49', 🟨,
- 57', Feliks M. 🟨,
- 60', Michalski K. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
- 70', Misiak P. 🟨,
- 73', Tkachuk Y. ↓, Firlej M. ↑,
- 73', Gryszkiewicz A. ↓, Drzazga K. ↑,
- 83', Jakubik D. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Drzazga K. (Pen),
- 85', Misiak P. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
- 89', Famulak M. ↓, Hrnciar L. ↑,
- 90', Kopczynski M. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
- 90+8', Przybylko K. 🟥,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Pogoń Siedlce
66.4% | Draw
20.8% | Warta Poznań
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.52) |
4.59 ↑
(4.28) |
7.67 ↑
(5.59) |
5.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Warta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Warta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Warta (5.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Warta (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Warta (2.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Warta (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- Warta is Relegated to Division 2
- In recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Warta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Warta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pogoń Siedlce is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Warta Poznań?
Pogoń Siedlce has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Warta Poznań won against Pogoń Siedlce?
Warta Poznań has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań were as follows:
24.11.2024
Warta Poznań
-
Pogoń Siedlce
2:1
Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
Latest results of Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51:40 | 11 | 47 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Grodzisk M | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:40 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzow | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:37 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | LKS Lodz | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | 2 | 41 |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Wieczysta Krakow | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 52:40 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Legnica | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Puszcza | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 38 |
| 12 | Polonia Bytom | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 37 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 37:52 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Leczna | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 20 |
| 18 | Tychy | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 31:60 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
