Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań
Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Ostrowski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
61
Red Cards
11
Total shots
116
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
12
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
1718
Goalkeeper Saves
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Cassio 🟨,
  • 33', Podlinski K. 🟨,
  • 37', Cassio 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Szuprytowski D. , Dzieciol E. ,
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 57', Feliks M. 🟨,
  • 60', Michalski K. , Szeliga B. ,
  • 70', Misiak P. 🟨,
  • 73', Tkachuk Y. , Firlej M. ,
  • 73', Gryszkiewicz A. , Drzazga K. ,
  • 83', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Drzazga K. (Pen),
  • 85', Misiak P. , Demianiuk C. ,
  • 89', Famulak M. , Hrnciar L. ,
  • 90', Kopczynski M. , Gaska D. ,
  • 90+8', Przybylko K. 🟥,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
66.4%
Draw
20.8%
Warta Poznań
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 21.8% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 21.5% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.52)
    4.59
    (4.28)
    7.67
    (5.59)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Warta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 50%). Warta (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Warta is Relegated to Division 2
    • In recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Warta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Warta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pogoń Siedlce is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Warta Poznań - Pogoń Siedlce 2:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla760128:72118
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    3Slask Wroclaw842213:13014
    4Polonia Bytom841312:11113
    5Pogon Siedlce83328:5312
    6Polonia Warszawa833214:14012
    7Grodzisk M832315:12311
    8LKS Lodz832313:12111
    9Tychy832314:14011
    10S. Rzeszow832313:13011
    11Stal Mielec832312:17-511
    12Chrobry Glogow824211:9210
    13Ruch Chorzow824211:10110
    14Legnica831413:17-410
    15Odra Opole82336:10-49
    16Puszcza80627:9-26
    17Leczna80539:17-85
    18Pruszkow81078:26-183

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2