Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań
Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Ostrowski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
61
Red Cards
11
Total shots
116
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
12
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
1718
Goalkeeper Saves
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Cassio 🟨,
  • 33', Podlinski K. 🟨,
  • 37', Cassio 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Szuprytowski D. , Dzieciol E. ,
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 57', Feliks M. 🟨,
  • 60', Michalski K. , Szeliga B. ,
  • 70', Misiak P. 🟨,
  • 73', Tkachuk Y. , Firlej M. ,
  • 73', Gryszkiewicz A. , Drzazga K. ,
  • 83', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Drzazga K. (Pen),
  • 85', Misiak P. , Demianiuk C. ,
  • 89', Famulak M. , Hrnciar L. ,
  • 90', Kopczynski M. , Gaska D. ,
  • 90+8', Przybylko K. 🟥,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
66.4%
Draw
20.8%
Warta Poznań
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 21.8% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 21.5% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.52)
    4.62
    (4.28)
    7.85
    (5.59)
    5.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Warta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 50%). Warta (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Warta is Relegated to Division 2
    • In recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Warta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Warta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pogoń Siedlce is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Warta Poznań - Pogoń Siedlce 2:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1264225:141122
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Odra Opole1245313:14-117
    9Ruch Chorzow1244417:19-216
    10Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    11LKS Lodz1243517:18-115
    12Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    13Legnica1242616:25-914
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1232717:26-911
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Leczna1216515:24-99
    18Pruszkow1230915:30-159

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2