Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec
Result
5:2
22/04/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 29
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.17
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1115
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
411
Free Kicks
1012
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
1227
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
109
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
387554
Completed Passes
293438
Tackles
911
Attacks
9682
Dangerous Attacks
4337
Crosses Completed
35
Distance Covered (km)
119114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Matuszewski K. , Mezghrani M. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Jaunzems A. ,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Zrelak A. , Maenpaa N. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Shkurin I. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 3 - 2, Zrelak A. ,
  • 48', Pingot M. 🟨,
  • 49', 4 - 2, Szymonowicz D. , Mezghrani M. (A),
  • 55', Jaunzems A. , Gerstenstein L. ,
  • 55', Rafa Santos , Gheorghe I. ,
  • 62', Szmyt K. , Prikryl T. ,
  • 62', Guillaumier M. , Hinokio K. ,
  • 62', Wolkowicz K. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 71', 5 - 2, Zrelak A. , Prikryl T. (A),
  • 76', Zrelak A. , Zurawski M. ,
  • 76', Luis M. , Savic S. ,
  • 76', Domanski M. , Stepien M. ,
  • 90+1', Maenpaa N. , Paszkowski J. ,
  • 90+1', Matuszewski K. , Borowski F. ,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
43.5%
Draw
31.1%
Stal Mielec
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 29% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 28.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.17)
    3.01
    (3.1)
    3.69
    (3.05)
    6.7%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Warta: 23.4%70.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Warta will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Leandro (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Warta won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    23.10.2023 Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań 0:1
    27.05.2023 Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań 1:0
    11.11.2022 Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec 1:1
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Wisla Plock22004:136
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    14Piast Gliwice10010:1-10
    15GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    16Zaglebie10010:1-10
    17Korona Kielce20020:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1