Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec
Result
5:2
22/04/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 29
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.17
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1115
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
411
Free Kicks
1012
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
1227
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
109
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
387554
Completed Passes
293438
Tackles
911
Attacks
9682
Dangerous Attacks
4337
Crosses Completed
35
Distance Covered (km)
119114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Matuszewski K. , Mezghrani M. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Jaunzems A. ,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Zrelak A. , Maenpaa N. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Shkurin I. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 3 - 2, Zrelak A. ,
  • 48', Pingot M. 🟨,
  • 49', 4 - 2, Szymonowicz D. , Mezghrani M. (A),
  • 55', Jaunzems A. , Gerstenstein L. ,
  • 55', Rafa Santos , Gheorghe I. ,
  • 62', Szmyt K. , Prikryl T. ,
  • 62', Guillaumier M. , Hinokio K. ,
  • 62', Wolkowicz K. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 71', 5 - 2, Zrelak A. , Prikryl T. (A),
  • 76', Zrelak A. , Zurawski M. ,
  • 76', Luis M. , Savic S. ,
  • 76', Domanski M. , Stepien M. ,
  • 90+1', Maenpaa N. , Paszkowski J. ,
  • 90+1', Matuszewski K. , Borowski F. ,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
43.5%
Draw
31.1%
Stal Mielec
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 29% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 28.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.17)
    3.01
    (3.1)
    3.69
    (3.05)
    6.7%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Warta: 23.4%70.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Warta will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Leandro (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Warta won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    23.10.2023 Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań 0:1
    27.05.2023 Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań 1:0
    11.11.2022 Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec 1:1
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
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