Result
5:2
22/04/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 387 | 554 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 293 | 438 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 96 | 82 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Distance Covered (km) |
|---|
| 119 | 114 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Matuszewski K. ⚽, Mezghrani M. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Jaunzems A. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 1, Zrelak A. ⚽, Maenpaa N. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Shkurin I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 2, Zrelak A. ⚽,
- 48', Pingot M. 🟨,
- 49', 4 - 2, Szymonowicz D. ⚽, Mezghrani M. (A),
- 55', Jaunzems A. ↓, Gerstenstein L. ↑,
- 55', Rafa Santos ↓, Gheorghe I. ↑,
- 62', Szmyt K. ↓, Prikryl T. ↑,
- 62', Guillaumier M. ↓, Hinokio K. ↑,
- 62', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 71', 5 - 2, Zrelak A. ⚽, Prikryl T. (A),
- 76', Zrelak A. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
- 76', Luis M. ↓, Savic S. ↑,
- 76', Domanski M. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
- 90+1', Maenpaa N. ↓, Paszkowski J. ↑,
- 90+1', Matuszewski K. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Warta Poznań
43.5% | Draw
31.1% | Stal Mielec
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.17) |
3.01 ↓
(3.1) |
3.69 ↑
(3.05) |
6.7%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Warta: 23.4% – 70.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Warta will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Leandro
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Warta won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Warta Poznań won against Stal Mielec?
Warta Poznań has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Warta Poznań?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec were as follows:
23.10.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Warta Poznań
0:1
27.05.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Warta Poznań
1:0
11.11.2022
Warta Poznań
-
Stal Mielec
1:1
Latest results of Warta Poznań
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 58:57 | 1 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
