Washington Spirit vs San Diego Wave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+, NSWL+, NWSL+ app
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.490.82
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
80% (280/348)79% (316/400)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
3.490.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.740.74
Total shots
228
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
3416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
80% (280/348)79% (316/400)
Long passes
51% (18/35)38% (13/34)
Passes in final third
73% (83/114)58% (60/104)
Crosses
50% (3/6)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.39
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
2014
Tackles
74% (14/19)68% (17/25)
Duels won
5054
Clearances
2414
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
19
xGOT faced
0.742.74
Goals prevented
-0.260.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Kouassi R. , Abiodun D. (A),
  • 38', Robbe M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Leon A. , Cascarino D. ,
  • 57', Robbe M. , Carusa K. ,
  • 62', Lundkvist H. 🟨,
  • 69', Abiodun D. 🟨,
  • 71', Cascarino D. 🟨,
  • 72', Santos L. , Miura N. ,
  • 73', Lundkvist H. , Armstrong T. ,
  • 82', Monday G. , Cantore S. ,
  • 85', Corley G. , Fusco J. ,
  • 86', Dudinha , McMahon Q. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Cascarino D. , Carusa K. (A),
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Abiodun D. ,

Chances of winning


Washington Spirit
51.1%
Draw
25.2%
San Diego Wave
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 25.3% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.85)
    3.68
    (3.52)
    3.9
    (3.82)
    8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 1.
    • Washington Spirit is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Diego Wave is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Washington Spirit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Washington Spirit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington Spirit won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave were as follows:
    22.06.2025 San Diego Wave - Washington Spirit 0:0
    01.09.2024 San Diego Wave - Washington Spirit 1:1
    15.06.2024 Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave 1:1
    08.07.2023 San Diego Wave - Washington Spirit 2:2
    06.05.2023 Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave 3:1
    Latest results of Washington Spirit
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    NWSL Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego Wave W54018:3512
    2Portland Thorns W53118:5310
    3Seattle Reign W53117:4310
    4Angel City W430110:469
    5Houston Dash W43019:549
    6Orlando Pride W52217:438
    7Utah Royals W52126:607
    8Washington Spirit W51315:416
    9Denver Summit W51314:316
    10Bay FC W42026:7-16
    11Kansas City Current W52035:9-46
    12North Carolina Courage W41215:6-15
    13Gotham W51222:4-25
    14Chicago W51042:11-93
    15Racing Louisville W40137:10-31
    16Boston Legacy W40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)