Result
4:3
16/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 7
- Referee: O'Sullivan K. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (163/250) | 59% (190/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (163/250) | 59% (190/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 32% (23/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (68/112) | 47% (65/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 19% (6/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 62 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 3.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Twardek K. ⚽, Bolger A. (A),
- 30', Cann H. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Facchineri G. (Own goal),
- 38', 1 - 2, Amond P. ⚽, Voilas J. (A),
- 44', Heeney L. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Hurley D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Keohane J. ↓, McCarthy E. ↑,
- 54', Walsh S. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 2, Twardek K. ⚽, Hurley D. (A),
- 64', Pierrot F. 🟨,
- 64', McCarthy E. 🟨,
- 69', Coyle T. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
- 70', Voilas J. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 70', Wolfe M. ↓, Barratt C. ↑,
- 78', Heeney L. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 80', Parker A. ↓, Williams W. ↑,
- 80', Bolger A. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
- 81', Hurley D. 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 2, Pierrot F. ⚽,
- 90+2', 4 - 3, Lonergan T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Galway United
54.7% | Draw
25.1% | Waterford
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galway United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galway United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Galway United - Waterford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.87) |
3.73 ↓
(3.78) |
4.62 ↑
(3.85) |
6.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Galway United - Waterford?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Galway United will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Waterford will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galway United: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Galway United (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Waterford (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Galway United (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Galway United (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Waterford (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 2.
- In recent matches, Galway United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Waterford is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Galway United is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Galway United: McGuinness D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Muscle Injury)
Doherty A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galway United won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Galway United won against Waterford?
Galway United has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford won against Galway United?
Waterford has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galway United - Waterford were as follows:
01.11.2025
Waterford
-
Galway United
1:1
25.07.2025
Galway United
-
Waterford
2:4
09.05.2025
Waterford
-
Galway United
1:0
14.03.2025
Galway United
-
Waterford
1:0
27.09.2024
Waterford
-
Galway United
1:2
Latest results of Galway United
Latest results of Waterford
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Drogheda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Galway | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
