Result
2:4
25/07/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 25
- Referee: Patchell A. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (182/297) | 64% (229/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 3.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (182/297) | 64% (229/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (44/101) | 29% (23/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (79/137) | 46% (54/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 63% (5/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.49 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Rossiter J. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Noonan C. ⚽, Amond P. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Shaw M. ↓, McGuinness D. ↑,
- 46', Borden V. ↓, Hurley D. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Amond P. ⚽, McDonald R. (A),
- 58', Horton G. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Walsh S. ⚽, Hurley D. (A),
- 61', McCarthy E. ↓, Keohane J. ↑,
- 69', Brouder K. ↓, Buckley G. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, Leahy D. ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 3, McGuinness D. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 4, Amond P. (Pen),
- 78', Esua J. 🟨,
- 80', Armstrong F. ↓, Dempsey J. ↑,
- 80', Rossiter J. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 81', Bolger A. ↓, Piesold A. ↑,
- 90+5', Hurley D. 🟨,
- 90+11', Cunningham G. 🟨,
- 90+11', Dempsey J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Galway United
49.4% | Draw
25.9% | Waterford United
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galway United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Galway United - Waterford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.95) |
3.6 ↑
(3.48) |
3.75 ↑
(3.62) |
7.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Galway United - Waterford United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Galway United will win
(24 of 24 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Galway United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 3.
- Galway United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Waterford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Galway United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Galway United: Dyer M.
(Red Card)
Keohane J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Waterford: Radkowski K.
(Ankle Injury)
Smith M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galway United won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Galway United won against Waterford United?
Galway United has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Galway United?
Waterford United has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galway United - Waterford United were as follows:
09.05.2025
Waterford United
-
Galway United
1:0
14.03.2025
Galway United
-
Waterford United
1:0
27.09.2024
Waterford United
-
Galway United
1:2
12.07.2024
Galway United
-
Waterford United
1:0
12.04.2024
Waterford United
-
Galway United
0:0
Latest results of Galway United
Latest results of Waterford United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 53:29 | 24 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 57 |
| 3 | Shelbourne | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42:32 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42:35 | 7 | 51 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 51 |
| 7 | Galway | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Waterford | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 40:59 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Cork City ✔ | 35 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 33:60 | -27 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cork City is Relegated to Division 1
