Watford vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Watford - Luton Town
Result
2:0
23/02/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 34
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
israelIsraelSport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.480.73
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
1010
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
04
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1713
Offsides
21
Fouls
1317
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1011
Touches in the Opposition Box
1422
Passes
85% (323/382)81% (255/313)
Passes in the final third
74% (50/68)69% (75/109)
Crosses
22% (2/9)11% (3/27)
Tackles
63% (12/19)41% (9/22)
Clearances Total
369
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Ngakia J. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Dele-Bashiru T. (Pen),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Kayembe E. , Chakvetadze G. (A),
  • 42', Andersen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Larouci Y. , Andrews R. ,
  • 46', Nordas L. , Brown J. ,
  • 46', Andersen M. , Makosso C. ,
  • 46', Nakamba M. , Baptiste S. ,
  • 53', Keben K. , Pollock M. ,
  • 58', Pollock M. 🟨,
  • 70', Baptiste S. , Bowler J. ,
  • 73', Morris C. 🟨,
  • 78', Doumbia M. , Bayo V. ,
  • 78', Abankwah J. , Sierralta F. ,
  • 84', Morris C. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 90+6', Chakvetadze G. , Morris J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Watford
40.7%
Draw
29.8%
Luton Town
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 25.5% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Watford - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.35)
    3.18
    (3.48)
    3.25
    (2.88)
    4.8%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Watford - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Luton will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 59%91%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Bachmann D. (Ankle Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Chong T. (Muscle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Burke R. (Hip Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Luton Town were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Luton Town - Watford 3:0
    01.04.2023 Luton Town - Watford 2:0
    23.10.2022 Watford - Luton Town 4:0
    Latest results of Watford
    15.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Watford 0:1
    11.02.2025 Watford - Leeds United 0:4
    08.02.2025 Sunderland - Watford 2:2
    01.02.2025 Watford - Norwich City 0:1
    25.01.2025 Coventry City - Watford 2:1
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One