Watford vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vicarage Road (Watford).

Championship - Round 39
Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.01	0.68
Ball Possession
72%	28%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
14	5
Passes
86% (495/575)	67% (151/225)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	0.87
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
7	3
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
9	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
14	5
Touches in opposition box
36	20
Through passes
100% (1/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
10	11
Passes
86% (495/575)	67% (151/225)
Long passes
68% (27/40)	34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
77% (142/185)	52% (50/96)
Crosses
27% (10/37)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.51	0.85
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
79% (11/14)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
53	48
Clearances Total
33	44
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.87	0.09
Goals prevented
0.87	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Gyabi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Andrews R. ↓, Ngakia J. ↑,
62', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
64', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
72', Bundu M. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
73', Gyabi D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
79', Sorinola M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
79', Bayo V. ↓, Massiah-Edwards Z. ↑,
79', Obafemi M. ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
82', Hazard C. 🟨,
85', Hardie R. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
90+1', Vata R. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
90+1', Wiley C. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
90+7', Larouci Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Watford
59.5%

Draw
24.5%

Plymouth Argyle
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Watford - Plymouth Argyle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)	3.86 ↑ (3.76)	5.89 ↑ (4.99)	5.2% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Watford - Plymouth Argyle?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 53.9% – 93.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Recent matches Watford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Plymouth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Watford is a favorite.
There will not play in Watford: Abankwah J. (Red Card) Baah K. (Thigh Injury) Bachmann D. (Ankle Injury) Doumbia M. (Hamstring Injury) Keben K. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Broken rib) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Ogbonna A. (Illness)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Watford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Plymouth Argyle?

Watford has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Watford?

Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:

22.11.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Watford 2:2

27.08.2024 Watford - Plymouth Argyle 2:0

01.01.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Watford 3:3

12.08.2023 Watford - Plymouth Argyle 0:0

Latest results of Watford

15.03.2025 Oxford United - Watford 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Watford - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Watford - Millwall 1:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Stoke City - Watford 0:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Watford - Luton Town 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

15.03.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Derby County 2:3 ✺

12.03.2025 Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday 0:3 ✺

04.03.2025 Hull City - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Manchester City - Plymouth Argyle 3:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stoke	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
3	West Brom	2	2	0	0	4:2	2	6
4	Bristol City	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
5	Coventry	2	1	1	0	5:3	2	4
6	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
7	Hull	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
8	Preston	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
9	Southampton	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Charlton	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
11	Leicester	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
12	Norwich	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
13	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
14	Watford	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
15	Swansea	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
16	Millwall	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
17	Ipswich	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
18	QPR	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
19	Wrexham	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0
20	Oxford Utd	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
21	Blackburn	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
22	Derby	2	0	0	2	4:8	-4	0
23	Sheffield Utd	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
24	Sheffield Wed	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One