Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 4
- Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/395) | 78% (260/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/395) | 78% (260/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 26% (12/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (56/93) | 66% (71/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Archer C. ⚽, Wood N. (A),
- 12', Manning R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', Kayembe E. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
- 57', Alleyne M. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 64', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Baah K. ⚽, Vata R. (A),
- 68', Charles S. 🟨,
- 75', Irankunda N. 🟨,
- 76', Robinson J. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
- 76', Archer C. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
- 76', Fraser R. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
- 76', Abankwah J. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 2, Manning R. ⚽,
- 80', Matsuki K. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Irankunda N. ⚽,
- 83', Irankunda N. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
- 83', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
- 84', Azaz F. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 86', Downs D. 🟨,
- 88', Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
- 90+2', Ngakia J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Watford
30.3% | Draw
28.1% | Southampton
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Watford - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↓
(3.27) |
3.45 ↑
(3.4) |
2.32 ↑
(2.19) |
2.8%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Watford - Southampton?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 1 - 50%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 1.
- Watford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- S`hampton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G.
(Foot Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
Louza I.
(Red Card)
Pollock M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wiley C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Aribo J.
(Inactive)
Bree J.
(Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Alleyne M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S.
(Inactive)
Welington
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Southampton?
Watford has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Watford?
Southampton has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Southampton were as follows:
13.04.2024
Southampton
-
Watford
3:2
06.02.2024
Southampton
-
Watford
3:0
28.01.2024
Watford
-
Southampton
1:1
09.12.2023
Watford
-
Southampton
1:1
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
