Southampton vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton).

Championship - Round 31
Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.80	0.68
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
3	9
Passes
81% (333/411)	82% (374/454)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.80	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.52	0.24
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked shots
1	5
Shots inside the box
5	6
Shots outside the box
1	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
3	9
Touches in opposition box
18	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
10	10
Passes
81% (333/411)	82% (374/454)
Long passes
40% (24/60)	41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
66% (77/116)	74% (86/116)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.66
Throw ins
16	16
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
33% (7/21)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
47	51
Clearances
26	23
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.24	1.52
Goals prevented
0.24	0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Downes F. ↓, Charles S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
63', Doumbia M. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
66', Chakvetadze G. 🟨,
67', Stewart R. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
67', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
70', Mfuni S. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Larin C. ⚽, Bree J. (A),
75', Bree J. 🟨,
85', Ngakia J. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
85', Mendy N. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
86', Maamma O. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
90', Fellows T. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
90+3', Charles S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Southampton
49.2%

Draw
26%

Watford
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.3%

19.4%

Southampton - Watford Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)	3.65 ↓ (3.94)	3.84 ↓ (4.72)	5.1% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Southampton - Watford?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Watford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Southampton will win (66 of 73 users predict this - 90.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.66% – 97.16%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Southampton will win (52 of 56 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 57 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 52 - 91.2%). Watford (votes: 3 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 3.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2.
S`hampton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Watford is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Watford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.
There will not play in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Watford: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Ekwah P. (Inactive) Grieves J. (Inactive) Irankunda N. (Red Card) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Bragg C. (Concussion) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Romeu O. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Watford?

Southampton has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Southampton?

Watford has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Watford were as follows:

30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2

13.04.2024 Southampton - Watford 3:2

06.02.2024 Southampton - Watford 3:0

28.01.2024 Watford - Southampton 1:1

09.12.2023 Watford - Southampton 1:1

Latest results of Southampton

31.01.2026 Stoke City - Southampton 0:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Portsmouth - Southampton 1:1 ✺

21.01.2026 Southampton - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Southampton - Hull City 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Southampton 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Watford

03.02.2026 Hull City - Watford 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Watford - Swansea City 0:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Watford 1:1 ✺

21.01.2026 Watford - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Watford - Millwall 0:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One