Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 31
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/411) | 82% (374/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/411) | 82% (374/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (77/116) | 74% (86/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Downes F. ↓, Charles S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
- 63', Doumbia M. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
- 66', Chakvetadze G. 🟨,
- 67', Stewart R. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
- 67', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
- 70', Mfuni S. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Larin C. ⚽, Bree J. (A),
- 75', Bree J. 🟨,
- 85', Ngakia J. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
- 85', Mendy N. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
- 86', Maamma O. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 90', Fellows T. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
- 90+3', Charles S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Southampton
49.2% | Draw
26% | Watford
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southampton's form might have worsened.Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Watford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Southampton - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.69) |
3.65 ↓
(3.94) |
3.84 ↓
(4.72) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Southampton - Watford?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Watford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Southampton will win
(66 of 73 users predict this - 90.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.66% – 97.16%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Southampton will win (52 of 56 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 57 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 52 - 91.2%). Watford (votes: 3 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 3.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2.
- S`hampton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Watford is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Watford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Grieves J.
(Inactive)
Irankunda N.
(Red Card)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Bragg C.
(Concussion)
Edozie S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Romeu O.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Watford?
Southampton has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Southampton?
Watford has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Watford were as follows:
30.08.2025
Watford
-
Southampton
2:2
13.04.2024
Southampton
-
Watford
3:2
06.02.2024
Southampton
-
Watford
3:0
28.01.2024
Watford
-
Southampton
1:1
09.12.2023
Watford
-
Southampton
1:1
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
