Watford vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Watford - Southampton
Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 4
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.63
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (320/395)78% (260/335)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.512.01
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
81% (320/395)78% (260/335)
Long passes
46% (31/68)26% (12/46)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)66% (71/108)
Crosses
10% (2/20)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.10
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
1412
Tackles
64% (7/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
2726
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.011.51
Goals prevented
0.01-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Archer C. , Wood N. (A),
  • 12', Manning R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', Kayembe E. , Vata R. ,
  • 57', Alleyne M. , Baah K. ,
  • 64', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Baah K. , Vata R. (A),
  • 68', Charles S. 🟨,
  • 75', Irankunda N. 🟨,
  • 76', Robinson J. , Downs D. ,
  • 76', Archer C. , Armstrong A. ,
  • 76', Fraser R. , Matsuki K. ,
  • 76', Abankwah J. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Manning R. ,
  • 80', Matsuki K. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Irankunda N. ,
  • 83', Irankunda N. , Doumbia M. ,
  • 83', Kjerrumgaard L. , Semedo V. ,
  • 84', Azaz F. , Stewart R. ,
  • 86', Downs D. 🟨,
  • 88', Roerslev Rasmussen M. , Edwards R. ,
  • 90+2', Ngakia J. , Andrews R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Watford
30.3%
Draw
28.1%
Southampton
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.8% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 27.8% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Watford - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (3.27)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    2.32
    (2.19)
    2.8%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Watford - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 1 - 50%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 1.
    • Watford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • S`hampton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Louza I. (Red Card) Pollock M. (Hamstring Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Aribo J. (Inactive) Bree J. (Injury) Smallbone W. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Alleyne M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive) Welington (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Southampton were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Southampton - Watford 3:2
    06.02.2024 Southampton - Watford 3:0
    28.01.2024 Watford - Southampton 1:1
    09.12.2023 Watford - Southampton 1:1
    Latest results of Watford
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

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