Swansea City vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Swansea City - Watford
Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 3
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.45
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
74% (308/414)71% (215/303)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.66
Total shots
109
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
74% (308/414)71% (215/303)
Long passes
37% (21/57)39% (30/76)
Passes in final third
65% (81/125)45% (43/96)
Crosses
11% (2/19)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.42
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
1117
Tackles
55% (11/20)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6362
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.660.94
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Irankunda N. ,
  • 39', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Eom J. , Inoussa Z. ,
  • 53', Yalcouye M. , Stamenic M. ,
  • 54', Stamenic M. 🟨,
  • 58', Irankunda N. , Baah K. ,
  • 70', Ngakia J. 🟨,
  • 75', Key J. , Widell M. ,
  • 76', Cullen L. , Vipotnik Z. ,
  • 78', Ngakia J. , Andrews R. ,
  • 78', Kjerrumgaard L. , Semedo V. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Vipotnik Z. , Galbraith E. (A),
  • 87', Kayembe E. , Morris J. ,
  • 87', Alleyne M. , Vata R. ,
  • 90+4', Morris J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Galbraith E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,
  • 90+10', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
50.2%
Draw
27.8%
Watford
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 27.9% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 28.7% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Swansea City - Watford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.07)
    3.4
    (3.38)
    4.29
    (3.57)
    5.3%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swansea City - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Watford will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 61.5%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Watford has had a series of home games.
    • Swansea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Santos R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Louza I. (Red Card) Pollock M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Lissah F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Watford were as follows:
    12.03.2025 Watford - Swansea City 1:0
    05.11.2024 Swansea City - Watford 1:0
    06.03.2024 Watford - Swansea City 1:1
    24.10.2023 Swansea City - Watford 0:1
    30.12.2022 Swansea City - Watford 4:0
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Watford
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1284034:92528
    2Middlesbrough1274116:8825
    3Millwall1272314:13123
    4Bristol City1264220:11922
    5Stoke1263313:8521
    6Charlton1254314:10419
    7Preston1254315:12319
    8Hull1254320:20019
    9QPR1253415:17-218
    10Leicester1245315:12317
    11West Brom1252512:14-217
    12Ipswich1144317:13416
    13Swansea1244412:12016
    14Watford1243514:16-215
    15Birmingham1243511:15-415
    16Wrexham1235416:17-114
    17Derby1235413:16-314
    18Portsmouth1234510:13-313
    19Oxford Utd1233613:15-212
    20Southampton1226413:17-412
    21Blackburn1131710:17-710
    22Sheffield Utd123099:20-119
    23Norwich1222812:18-68
    24Sheffield Wed1213810:25-15-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One