Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 3
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/414) | 71% (215/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/414) | 71% (215/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 39% (30/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (81/125) | 45% (43/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Irankunda N. ⚽,
- 39', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
- 53', Yalcouye M. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
- 54', Stamenic M. 🟨,
- 58', Irankunda N. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 70', Ngakia J. 🟨,
- 75', Key J. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 76', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
- 78', Ngakia J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
- 78', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Galbraith E. (A),
- 87', Kayembe E. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 87', Alleyne M. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
- 90+4', Morris J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Galbraith E. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
- 90+10', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
50.2% | Draw
27.8% | Watford
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Swansea City - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.07) |
3.4 ↑
(3.38) |
4.29 ↑
(3.57) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Watford?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Watford will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 61.5% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Watford has had a series of home games.
- Swansea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Santos R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G.
(Foot Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
Louza I.
(Red Card)
Pollock M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Swansea: Lissah F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Watford?
Swansea City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Swansea City?
Watford has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Watford were as follows:
12.03.2025
Watford
-
Swansea City
1:0
05.11.2024
Swansea City
-
Watford
1:0
06.03.2024
Watford
-
Swansea City
1:1
24.10.2023
Swansea City
-
Watford
0:1
30.12.2022
Swansea City
-
Watford
4:0
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Coventry | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 7 |
| 4 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Preston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Leicester | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Southampton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Watford | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Swansea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Charlton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Hull | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Norwich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Ipswich | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 21 | Sheffield Wed | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | QPR | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
