Swansea City vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Swansea City - Watford
Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 3
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.45
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
74% (308/414)71% (215/303)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.66
Total shots
109
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
74% (308/414)71% (215/303)
Long passes
37% (21/57)39% (30/76)
Passes in final third
65% (81/125)45% (43/96)
Crosses
11% (2/19)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.42
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
1117
Tackles
55% (11/20)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6362
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.660.94
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Irankunda N. ,
  • 39', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Eom J. , Inoussa Z. ,
  • 53', Yalcouye M. , Stamenic M. ,
  • 54', Stamenic M. 🟨,
  • 58', Irankunda N. , Baah K. ,
  • 70', Ngakia J. 🟨,
  • 75', Key J. , Widell M. ,
  • 76', Cullen L. , Vipotnik Z. ,
  • 78', Ngakia J. , Andrews R. ,
  • 78', Kjerrumgaard L. , Semedo V. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Vipotnik Z. , Galbraith E. (A),
  • 87', Kayembe E. , Morris J. ,
  • 87', Alleyne M. , Vata R. ,
  • 90+4', Morris J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Galbraith E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,
  • 90+10', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
50.2%
Draw
27.8%
Watford
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 27.9% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 28.7% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Swansea City - Watford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.07)
    3.4
    (3.38)
    4.29
    (3.57)
    5.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Swansea City - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Watford will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 61.5%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Watford has had a series of home games.
    • Swansea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Santos R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Louza I. (Red Card) Pollock M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Lissah F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Watford were as follows:
    12.03.2025 Watford - Swansea City 1:0
    05.11.2024 Swansea City - Watford 1:0
    06.03.2024 Watford - Swansea City 1:1
    24.10.2023 Swansea City - Watford 0:1
    30.12.2022 Swansea City - Watford 4:0
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Watford
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry954027:72019
    2Middlesbrough953112:6618
    3Leicester944113:8516
    4Preston944111:7416
    5Stoke943211:6515
    6QPR943213:14-115
    7West Brom94239:10-114
    8Millwall94239:12-314
    9Ipswich834115:8713
    10Bristol City934215:10513
    11Watford933311:11012
    12Swansea933310:10012
    13Charlton93338:8012
    14Portsmouth93338:9-112
    15Hull933314:16-212
    16Birmingham93338:11-312
    17Southampton925211:12-111
    18Wrexham924314:15-110
    19Norwich922511:14-38
    20Derby915311:15-48
    21Blackburn82157:11-47
    22Oxford Utd913510:13-36
    23Sheffield Wed91358:20-126
    24Sheffield Utd91083:16-133

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One