Watford vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vicarage Road (Watford).

Championship - Round 30
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.84	2.78
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
5	7
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
5	8
Passes
78% (352/453)	75% (260/347)
Yellow cards
1	3
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.84	2.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.36	2.93
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked shots
5	5
Shots inside the box
7	10
Shots outside the box
10	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
19	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free kicks
11	10
Passes
78% (352/453)	75% (260/347)
Long passes
34% (22/65)	40% (29/73)
Passes in final third
62% (83/134)	62% (50/81)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.55
Throw ins
29	23
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
67% (8/12)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
49	53
Clearances
15	27
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	5
xGOT faced
2.93	0.36
Goals prevented
0.93	0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Burgess C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Louza I. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Stamenic M. ⚽, Vipotnik Z. (A),
59', Fulton J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
59', Eom J. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
65', Maamma O. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
65', Ince T. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
68', Ward J. ↓, Galbraith E. ↑,
69', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
76', Doumbia M. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
77', Louza I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
80', Ronald ↓, Key J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Key J. ⚽, Stamenic M. (A),
90+2', Irankunda N. 🟥,
90+2', Cullen L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Watford
44.2%

Draw
28.7%

Swansea City
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

28%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Watford - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.07)	3.32 ↓ (3.35)	3.51 ↓ (3.69)	4.9% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Watford - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Swansea will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Swansea (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.
Watford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swansea's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Watford will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Watford: Bove E. (Heart Problems)
There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Inoussa Z. (Injury) Samuels-Smith I. (Groin Injury) Santos R. (Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Watford won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Swansea City?

Watford has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Watford?

Swansea City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Swansea City were as follows:

23.08.2025 Swansea City - Watford 1:1

12.03.2025 Watford - Swansea City 1:0

05.11.2024 Swansea City - Watford 1:0

06.03.2024 Watford - Swansea City 1:1

24.10.2023 Swansea City - Watford 0:1

Latest results of Watford

24.01.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Watford 1:1 ✺

21.01.2026 Watford - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Watford - Millwall 0:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Bristol City - Watford 5:1 ✺

01.01.2026 Watford - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

24.01.2026 Hull City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers 3:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Swansea City - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion 2:3 ✺

04.01.2026 Millwall - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	39	24	8	7	81:40	41	80
2	Middlesbrough	39	20	11	8	59:37	22	71
3	Ipswich	38	19	12	7	67:39	28	69
4	Millwall	39	20	9	10	53:44	9	69
5	Hull	39	20	6	13	62:57	5	66
6	Southampton	39	17	12	10	63:48	15	63
7	Wrexham	39	17	12	10	60:51	9	63
8	Derby	39	17	9	13	56:48	8	60
9	Watford	39	14	14	11	50:46	4	56
10	Norwich	39	16	6	17	52:46	6	54
11	Birmingham	39	14	11	14	48:49	-1	53
12	QPR	39	15	8	16	55:61	-6	53
13	Preston	39	13	13	13	45:49	-4	52
14	Swansea	39	15	7	17	44:49	-5	52
15	Stoke	39	14	9	16	46:43	3	51
16	Bristol City	39	14	9	16	49:50	-1	51
17	Sheffield Utd	39	15	5	19	54:54	0	50
18	Charlton	39	12	12	15	36:46	-10	48
19	Blackburn	39	11	10	18	36:49	-13	43
20	West Brom	39	11	10	18	40:54	-14	43
21	Portsmouth	38	10	10	18	37:54	-17	40
22	Leicester	39	11	12	16	51:60	-9	39
23	Oxford Utd	39	9	12	18	36:51	-15	39
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	39	1	9	29	24:79	-55	-6

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One