Result
0:2
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 30
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (352/453) | 75% (260/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 2.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (352/453) | 75% (260/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (22/65) | 40% (29/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (83/134) | 62% (50/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', Louza I. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Stamenic M. ⚽, Vipotnik Z. (A),
- 59', Fulton J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 59', Eom J. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
- 65', Maamma O. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
- 65', Ince T. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 68', Ward J. ↓, Galbraith E. ↑,
- 69', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 76', Doumbia M. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
- 77', Louza I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
- 80', Ronald ↓, Key J. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Key J. ⚽, Stamenic M. (A),
- 90+2', Irankunda N. 🟥,
- 90+2', Cullen L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Watford
44.2% | Draw
28.7% | Swansea City
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Watford - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.07) |
3.32 ↓
(3.35) |
3.51 ↓
(3.69) |
4.9%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Watford - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Swansea will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Swansea (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.
- Watford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Swansea's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Watford will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Watford: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
Samuels-Smith I.
(Groin Injury)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Watford won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Swansea City?
Watford has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Watford?
Swansea City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Swansea City were as follows:
23.08.2025
Swansea City
-
Watford
1:1
12.03.2025
Watford
-
Swansea City
1:0
05.11.2024
Swansea City
-
Watford
1:0
06.03.2024
Watford
-
Swansea City
1:1
24.10.2023
Swansea City
-
Watford
0:1
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
