Result
2:3
25/04/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sofapaka 53.1% | Draw 27.8% | Wazito 19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Wazito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-19.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofapaka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wazito than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wazito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sofapaka - Wazito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (1.75) |
3.3 ↑ (3.03) |
4.78 ↓ (5.05) |
9.3% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Wazito?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sofapaka will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Wazito will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sofapaka: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 5.
- Sofapaka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Wazito has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sofapaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Sofapaka is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Sofapaka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Wazito?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wazito won against Sofapaka?
Wazito has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Wazito were as follows:
04.02.2023
Wazito
-
Sofapaka
0:1
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League