Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
20/12/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 9
  • Referee: Danaskos T. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.06
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
73% (227/309)80% (309/385)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.701.25
Total shots
910
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
108
Passes
73% (227/309)80% (309/385)
Long passes
41% (19/46)38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
63% (64/102)64% (52/81)
Crosses
13% (2/15)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.60
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
810
Tackles
61% (11/18)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5560
Clearances
3627
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.252.70
Goals prevented
0.25-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', Oluwayemi J. , McCarron E. ,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Piper C. , Nagasawa K. (A),
  • 41', McCalmont A. , Di Pizio M. ,
  • 45+6', 1 - 1, James Ngor S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 1, James M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 52', 3 - 1, Armiento C. , Piper C. (A),
  • 58', Kennedy W. , Herrington D. ,
  • 59', Theoharous C. , Edmondson R. ,
  • 75', Eze I. , Conchie F. ,
  • 84', Herrington D. 🟨,
  • 84', James Ngor S. , Duarte N. ,
  • 84', Steele H. , Brandtman B. ,
  • 90+3', Najjarine R. , Retre P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
44.5%
Draw
27%
Central Coast Mariners
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 26.6% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.7% 29.3%

Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.13
(2.13)
3.51
(3.45)
3.32
(3.03)
5.6%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Wellington has had a series of home games.
    • Wellington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H. (Injury) Mileusnic N. (Injury) Payne T. (Inactive) Retre P. (Abdominal strain) Supyk L. (Injury) Walker N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Eames H. (Injury) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix 1:1
    24.01.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 0:0
    10.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix 0:3
    06.04.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    05.02.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 0:0
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auckland FC962114:7720
    2Sydney FC960315:7818
    3Adelaide United1050516:13315
    4Brisbane Roar94329:5415
    5Macarthur FC1043312:13-115
    6Melbourne Victory1042412:13-114
    7Perth Glory1041510:13-313
    8Melbourne City1034311:10113
    9Newcastle Jets1040620:22-212
    10Wellington Phoenix1032514:20-611
    11WS Wanderers102358:13-59
    12Central Coast Mariners922510:15-58

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