Result
3:1
20/12/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 9
- Referee: Danaskos T. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (227/309) | 80% (309/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (227/309) | 80% (309/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 64% (52/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Oluwayemi J. ↓, McCarron E. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 0, Piper C. ⚽, Nagasawa K. (A),
- 41', McCalmont A. ↓, Di Pizio M. ↑,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, James Ngor S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, James M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 52', 3 - 1, Armiento C. ⚽, Piper C. (A),
- 58', Kennedy W. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
- 59', Theoharous C. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
- 75', Eze I. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
- 84', Herrington D. 🟨,
- 84', James Ngor S. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
- 84', Steele H. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 90+3', Najjarine R. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
44.5% | Draw
27% | Central Coast Mariners
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.13) |
3.51 ↑
(3.45) |
3.32 ↑
(3.03) |
5.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wellington Phoenix will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Wellington has had a series of home games.
- Wellington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H.
(Injury)
Mileusnic N.
(Injury)
Payne T.
(Inactive)
Retre P.
(Abdominal strain)
Supyk L.
(Injury)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Central Coast: Eames H.
(Injury)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Central Coast Mariners?
Wellington Phoenix has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Wellington Phoenix?
Central Coast Mariners has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
02.11.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:1
24.01.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:0
10.11.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:3
06.04.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
05.02.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:0
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
