Result
0:1
29/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 21
- Referee: Mackie B. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (189/316) | 76% (353/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (189/316) | 76% (353/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (20/65) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (51/101) | 61% (74/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.87 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (22/29) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 58 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, McNamara H. ⚽, Bosch L. (A),
- 39', Jaber T. 🟨,
- 40', Speckmaier M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jaber T. ↓, McMeeken Z. ↑,
- 48', Wall L. 🟨,
- 55', McNamara H. (Pen),
- 71', McNamara H. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
- 72', Kelly A. ↓, Whinham A. ↑,
- 72', Main E. ↓, Tanaka M. ↑,
- 79', Speckmaier M. ↓, McMahon S. ↑,
- 90+3', Apostolakis A. ↓, Vlajnic T. ↑,
- 90+3', McKenna L. ↓, Pollicina R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
20.3% | Draw
22.8% | Melbourne City
56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.49 ↑
(4.22) |
4 ↑
(3.95) |
1.61 ↓
(1.67) |
9.6%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Wellington is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Melbourne City in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Melbourne City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:13 (average 0.6:2.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne City?
Wellington Phoenix has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne City has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City were as follows:
28.12.2024
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
20.01.2024
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
14.10.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
0:1
19.11.2022
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
1:4
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Melbourne City
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Adelaide W (3) | Western United W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | Canberra W (5) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Adelaide W (3) | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Melbourne City W (1) | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | 1 : 2 |
