Result
1:2
09/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 12
- Referee: Keighley A-M. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (232/321) | 74% (270/363) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (232/321) | 74% (270/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 46% (33/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (62/109) | 54% (49/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, McKenna L. ⚽, Butrus D. (A),
- 21', 0 - 2, Keane A. ⚽,
- 31', Davidson L. ↓, Roestbakken K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leon L. ↓, Elliott M. ↑,
- 46', Wall L. ↓, Woods M. ↑,
- 46', Butrus D. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
- 54', Brazendale D. ↓, Pijnenburg E. ↑,
- 85', Uchendu C. ↓, Jackson D. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Woods M. ⚽, Nunn B. (A),
- 90+1', McNamara H. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
30.7% | Draw
26.5% | Melbourne City
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↓
(3.1) |
3.45 ↓
(3.75) |
2.14 ↑
(1.88) |
9.2%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Wellington (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Melbourne City (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Melbourne City (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 2 - 40%). Melbourne City (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 0.
- In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melbourne City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Wellington has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.
- Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne City?
Wellington Phoenix has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne City has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City were as follows:
06.12.2025
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
29.03.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
0:1
28.12.2024
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
20.01.2024
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
14.10.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
0:1
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Melbourne City
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:10 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Adelaide W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar W | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:25 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Perth W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
