Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 6 |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 11 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (477/555) | 80% (360/452) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (477/555) | 80% (360/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (98/143) | 49% (44/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Nusa A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Pieper A. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 2, Romulo Cardoso ⚽,
- 57', Lukeba C. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
- 61', Agu F. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
- 61', Grull M. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
- 73', Puertas C. 🟨,
- 76', Bittencourt L. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
- 76', Njinmah J. ↓, Musah S. ↑,
- 78', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 78', Nusa A. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
- 86', Baumgartner C. ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,
- 86', Diomande Y. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
- 90+2', Gomis T. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Musah S. ⚽, Milosevic J. (A),
- 90+8', Friedl M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Werder Bremen 24.8% | Draw 23.8% | RB Leipzig 51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.88 ↑ (3.28) |
4.01 ↑ (3.92) |
1.86 ↓ (2.03) |
4.5% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 5 - 9.8%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 39 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 64.9% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Werder (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - RB Leipzig (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - RB Leipzig (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Werder (3.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 14.3%). RB Leipzig (votes: 12 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 0.
- In recent matches, Werder has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- RB Leipzig is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Werder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- RB Leipzig will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Werder: Adeh W.
(Knee Injury)
Boniface V.
(Knee Injury)
Hein K.
(Hand Injury)
Malatini J.
(Ankle Injury)
Pieper A.
(Knee Injury)
Stark N.
(Muscle Injury)
Topp K.
(Knee Injury)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V.
(Knee Injury)
Gruda B.
(Muscle Injury)
Sani S.
(Hip Injury)
Zingerle L.
(Wrist Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:38. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against RB Leipzig?
Werder Bremen has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Werder Bremen?
RB Leipzig has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig were as follows:
23.11.2025
RB Leipzig
-
Werder Bremen
2:0
10.05.2025
Werder Bremen
-
RB Leipzig
0:0
12.01.2025
RB Leipzig
-
Werder Bremen
4:2
11.05.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Werder Bremen
1:1
19.12.2023
Werder Bremen
-
RB Leipzig
1:1
Latest results of Werder Bremen
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 100:27 | 73 | 73 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 60:28 | 32 | 64 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 55:36 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:38 | 18 | 53 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 55:41 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 52:53 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 41:47 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 | Mainz | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35:43 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 32 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | B. Monchengladbach | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 35:48 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 31:49 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:45 | -20 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 38:63 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 29:63 | -34 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )