Result
2:1
17/04/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (408/499) | 78% (361/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (408/499) | 78% (361/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 19% (10/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (105/150) | 61% (60/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.71 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Klein S. ⚽, Brazete J. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Berenguer F. ⚽,
- 27', Klein S. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Grimaldi M. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
- 46', Russell T. ↓, Donachie J. ↑,
- 66', Berenguer F. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
- 68', Danzaki R. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
- 71', Hingert J. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
- 77', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 79', Donachie J. 🟨,
- 79', Abubakar A. 🟨,
- 85', Brazete J. ↓, Shour W. ↑,
- 85', Abubakar A. ↓, Zimarino A. ↑,
- 88', Botic N. ↓, Najdovski J. ↑,
- 90+1', Shour W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
22.5% | Draw
22.2% | Western United
55.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brisbane Roar - Western United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.22 ↑
(3.71) |
4.26 ↑
(3.71) |
1.71 ↓
(1.92) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Western United?
Users Predictions:
Western United will win
(22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Western United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 1.
- Brisbane is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Western United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Western United is a favorite.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Brown C.
(Injury)
Burke-Gilroy A.
(Inactive)
Warland B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Western United: Walatee A.
(Concussion)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:17 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brisbane won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Western United?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Brisbane Roar?
Western United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Western United were as follows:
29.12.2024
Western United
-
Brisbane Roar
1:0
23.02.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Western United
2:2
15.12.2023
Western United
-
Brisbane Roar
2:1
18.03.2023
Brisbane Roar
-
Western United
1:0
30.12.2022
Western United
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Western United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
