Melbourne Victory vs Western United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Melbourne Victory - Western United
Result
3:4
10/01/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 13
  • Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App
australiaAustraliaParamount+
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
japanJapanU-NEXT
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1, Sky Sport 2
nigeriaNigeriaSporty TV
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
singaporeSingaporeStarHub TV+
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.851.92
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1918
Shots on Goal
67
Shots off Goal
76
Blocked Shots
65
Big Chances
74
Corner Kicks
38
Shots inside the Box
1415
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1410
Offsides
31
Fouls
1014
Yellow Cards
34
Throw-ins
2117
Touches in the Opposition Box
2935
Passes
81% (362/446)82% (336/409)
Passes in the final third
73% (94/128)71% (96/135)
Crosses
40% (6/15)20% (6/30)
Tackles
52% (12/23)41% (7/17)
Clearances Total
4133
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Hamill B. , Valadon J. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Ibusuki H. , Garuccio B. (A),
  • 24', Thurgate A. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Fornaroli B. , Arzani D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 56', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 56', Arzani D. 🟨,
  • 57', Garuccio B. 🟨,
  • 66', Piscopo R. , Velupillay N. ,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Walatee A. , Vickery L. (A),
  • 75', Fornaroli B. , Vergos N. ,
  • 75', Traore A. , Bos K. ,
  • 75', Arzani D. , Santos ,
  • 75', Bozinovski R. , Lauton J. ,
  • 79', Walatee A. , Grimaldi M. ,
  • 79', Vickery L. , Danzaki R. ,
  • 79', 3 - 2, Santos , Machach Z. (A),
  • 87', Machach Z. , Rawlins J. ,
  • 88', Bos K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 3 - 3, Botic N. , Thurgate A. (A),
  • 90+2', Botic N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Grimaldi M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 4, Ibusuki H. , Danzaki R. (A),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory
54.4%
Draw
23%
Western United
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 23.2% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 24.6% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Melbourne Victory - Western United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.81)
    4.12
    (4.08)
    4.16
    (3.85)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Western United?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Western United will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 30.1%75.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 2.
    • Recent matches Melbourne Victory is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Western United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Western United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Western United have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Western United: Kaddour K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:28 (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Western United were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Western United - Melbourne Victory 1:3
    14.03.2024 Western United - Melbourne Victory 2:2
    20.02.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western United 2:1
    13.03.2023 Melbourne Victory - Western United 1:2
    26.12.2022 Western United - Melbourne Victory 1:0
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Latest results of Western United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0