Melbourne Victory vs Western United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/01/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

AAMI Park (Melbourne).

AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 13
Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.85	1.92
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Goal Attempts
19	18
Shots on Goal
6	7
Shots off Goal
7	6
Blocked Shots
6	5
Big Chances
7	4
Corner Kicks
3	8
Shots inside the Box
14	15
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
Free Kicks
14	10
Offsides
3	1
Fouls
10	14
Yellow Cards
3	4
Throw-ins
21	17
Touches in the Opposition Box
29	35
Passes
81% (362/446)	82% (336/409)
Passes in the final third
73% (94/128)	71% (96/135)
Crosses
40% (6/15)	20% (6/30)
Tackles
52% (12/23)	41% (7/17)
Clearances Total
41	33
Interceptions
7	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Hamill B. ⚽, Valadon J. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Garuccio B. (A),
24', Thurgate A. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Fornaroli B. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
56', Traore A. 🟨,
56', Arzani D. 🟨,
57', Garuccio B. 🟨,
66', Piscopo R. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Walatee A. ⚽, Vickery L. (A),
75', Fornaroli B. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
75', Traore A. ↓, Bos K. ↑,
75', Arzani D. ↓, Santos ↑,
75', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
79', Walatee A. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
79', Vickery L. ↓, Danzaki R. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Santos ⚽, Machach Z. (A),
87', Machach Z. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
88', Bos K. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 3, Botic N. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
90+2', Botic N. 🟨,
90+3', Grimaldi M. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 4, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),

Chances of winning

Melbourne Victory
54.4%

Draw
23%

Western United
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

23.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Melbourne Victory - Western United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.81)	4.12 ↑ (4.08)	4.16 ↑ (3.85)	5.9% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Western United?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Western United will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 30.1% – 75.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 2.
Recent matches Melbourne Victory is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Western United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Western United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Western United have a series of guest games.
In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
There will not play in Western United: Kaddour K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J. (Calf Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:28 (average 1.7:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.8:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Western United?

Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Melbourne Victory?

Western United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Western United were as follows:

01.12.2024 Western United - Melbourne Victory 1:3

14.03.2024 Western United - Melbourne Victory 2:2

20.02.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western United 2:1

13.03.2023 Melbourne Victory - Western United 1:2

26.12.2022 Western United - Melbourne Victory 1:0

Latest results of Melbourne Victory

04.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:2 ✺

31.12.2024 Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory 0:0 ✺

28.12.2024 Sydney - Melbourne Victory 3:0 ✺

21.12.2024 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺

08.12.2024 Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Western United

07.01.2025 Melbourne City - Western United 2:0 ✺

03.01.2025 Perth Glory - Western United 2:3 ✺

29.12.2024 Western United - Brisbane Roar 1:0 ✺

20.12.2024 Auckland FC - Western United 0:4 ✺

14.12.2024 Sydney - Western United 3:4 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Melbourne City (2)	Bye
2	Western United (3)	Adelaide United (6)	3 : 2
3	Auckland FC (1)	Bye
4	WS Wanderers (4)	Melbourne Victory (5)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Melbourne City (2)	Western United (3)	1 : 1, 3 : 0
2	Auckland FC (1)	Melbourne Victory (5)	0 : 2, 1 : 0

Final

1

Melbourne City (2)

Melbourne Victory (5)

1 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne Victory - Western United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	Paramount+
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	U-NEXT
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 2
Nigeria	Sporty TV
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Singapore	StarHub TV+
South-korea	SPOTV, SPOTV Now
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App