Result
3:4
10/01/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 13
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 2 |
 Nigeria | Sporty TV |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 Singapore | StarHub TV+ |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/446) | 82% (336/409) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (94/128) | 71% (96/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 20% (6/30) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 41% (7/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Hamill B. ⚽, Valadon J. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Garuccio B. (A),
- 24', Thurgate A. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 1, Fornaroli B. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 56', Traore A. 🟨,
- 56', Arzani D. 🟨,
- 57', Garuccio B. 🟨,
- 66', Piscopo R. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Walatee A. ⚽, Vickery L. (A),
- 75', Fornaroli B. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
- 75', Traore A. ↓, Bos K. ↑,
- 75', Arzani D. ↓, Santos ↑,
- 75', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 79', Walatee A. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 79', Vickery L. ↓, Danzaki R. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Santos ⚽, Machach Z. (A),
- 87', Machach Z. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
- 88', Bos K. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 3, Botic N. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
- 90+2', Botic N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Grimaldi M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 4, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
54.4% | Draw
23% | Western United
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Melbourne Victory - Western United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.81) |
4.12 ↑
(4.08) |
4.16 ↑
(3.85) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Western United?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Western United will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 30.1% – 75.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 2.
- Recent matches Melbourne Victory is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Western United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Western United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Western United have a series of guest games.
- In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
- There will not play in Western United: Kaddour K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:28 (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Western United?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Melbourne Victory?
Western United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Western United were as follows:
01.12.2024
Western United
-
Melbourne Victory
1:3
14.03.2024
Western United
-
Melbourne Victory
2:2
20.02.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Western United
2:1
13.03.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Western United
1:2
26.12.2022
Western United
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Western United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
