Result
2:0
14/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.96 | 0.94 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
83% (314/379) | 83% (322/389) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.96 | 0.94 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.74 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
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14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (314/379) | 83% (322/389) |
Long passes |
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45% (29/64) | 53% (29/55) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (62/90) | 63% (57/91) |
Crosses |
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25% (3/12) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.64 | 0.82 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 30 |
Fouls |
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4 | 16 |
Tackles |
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86% (12/14) | 61% (14/23) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.32 | 1.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.32 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Baena Perez A. ⚽, Shehu J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ba P. M. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
- 64', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Pawlowski B. ↑,
- 71', Kocyla D. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 71', Oliveira J. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 71', Celestine J. 🟨,
- 74', Kozlovsky S. ↓, Therkildsen P. ↑,
- 74', Czyz S. ↓, Hanousek Mar. ↑,
- 80', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
- 80', Kerk S. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
- 80', Navarro M. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
- 89', Baena Perez A. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Akere S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Widzew Łódź 69.6% | Draw 21.3% | Arka Gdynia 9.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widzew Łódź's performance.Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-18.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widzew Łódź that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+15.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.82) |
5 ↑ (3.7) |
12.47 ↑ (3.7) |
-3.4% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Arka will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Widzew (votes: 2 - 40%). Arka (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Widzew (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 1.
- Widzew is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Widzew may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Widzew is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Widzew: Kozlovsky S.
(Ankle Injury)
Therkildsen P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Arka: Abramowicz D.
(Injury)
Gojny D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Arka Gdynia?
Widzew Łódź has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Widzew Łódź?
Arka Gdynia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
Latest results of Widzew Łódź
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
2 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
3 | Jagiellonia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 16 |
4 | Gornik Zabrze | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
5 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
6 | Lech Poznan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Legia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
8 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Widzew Lodz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
10 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Zaglebie | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 9 |
12 | Termalica B-B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Motor Lublin | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
14 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
15 | Rakow | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1