Result
1:2
22/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 6
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, Canal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (345/436) | 76% (277/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (345/436) | 76% (277/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (36/81) | 64% (64/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.66 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Gallapeni D. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Huja M. ⚽, Juwara M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Shehu J. 🟨,
- 54', Akere S. ↓, Fornalczyk M. ↑,
- 62', Mukairu P. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 62', Koutris L. 🟨,
- 63', Huja M. 🟨,
- 66', Bergier S. 🟥,
- 71', Shehu J. ↓, Czyz S. ↑,
- 71', Baena Perez A. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
- 71', Gallapeni D. ↓, Andreou S. ↑,
- 76', Smolinski K. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Przyborek A. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
- 88', Selahi L. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
- 89', Bieganski J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 90+5', Pozo J. 🟨,
- 90+9', Juwara M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Widzew Łódź
46.3% | Draw
26.2% | Pogoń Szczecin
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widzew Łódź's performance.Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Szczecin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widzew Łódź that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Szczecin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.35) |
3.6 ↑
(3.55) |
3.4 ↑
(2.62) |
6%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Widzew Łódź will win
(38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Widzew Łódź will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Widzew might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Widzew: Kozlovsky S.
(Ankle Injury)
Therkildsen P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.4:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Widzew Łódź has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Widzew Łódź?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
22.02.2025
Widzew Łódź
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:4
17.08.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Widzew Łódź
2:0
16.12.2023
Widzew Łódź
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:2
30.07.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Widzew Łódź
2:1
28.01.2023
Widzew Łódź
-
Pogoń Szczecin
3:3
Latest results of Widzew Łódź
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
