Wieczysta Kraków vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
27/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
95
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
610
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
95
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
410
Throw-ins
178
Fouls
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Szczepaniak M. , Jedrasik J. (A),
  • 7', 1 - 1, Lysiak P. , Piazon L. (A),
  • 41', 2 - 1, Carlitos , Semedo L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', 2 - 2, Jedrasik J. , Adamski R. (A),
  • 67', Carlitos , Rafa Lopes ,
  • 67', Lysiak P. , Pusic P. ,
  • 67', Goralski J. , Feiertag S. ,
  • 71', Pazdan M. 🟨,
  • 72', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 72', Szczepaniak M. , Lis J. ,
  • 75', Pazdan M. , Fila K. ,
  • 79', Semedo L. , Villar Miki ,
  • 81', Jedrasik J. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 86', Chuma 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Gieroba S. ,
  • 90+2', Olewinski O. , Wypart O. ,

Chances of winning


Wieczysta Kraków
58.4%
Draw
21.3%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 21.5% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 22.2% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.57)
    4.34
    (4.3)
    4.62
    (4.67)
    7.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wieczysta: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Grodzisk Mazowiecki (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • Wieczysta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Wieczysta is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wieczysta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Wieczysta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków 2:1
    01.09.2024 Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1:1
    Latest results of Wieczysta Kraków
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2