Result
2:2
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 7
- Referee: Young A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.16 | 2.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
72% (207/287) | 78% (304/388) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.16 | 2.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.73 | 3.03 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
72% (207/287) | 78% (304/388) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (29/67) | 42% (22/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
51% (57/111) | 59% (55/94) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 21% (7/33) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 1.86 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
52 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.03 | 1.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.03 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Mullin P. ⚽, Tickle S. (A),
- 24', Bayliss T. 🟨,
- 27', Darikwa T. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Collins J. (Pen),
- 34', 2 - 1, Collins J. ⚽, Towler R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 2, Wright C. ⚽, Saydee C. (A),
- 61', Collins J. ↓, House B. ↑,
- 62', Draper F. ↓, Reach A. ↑,
- 64', Street R. 🟨,
- 68', Saydee C. 🟥,
- 74', Bayliss T. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
- 76', Mullin P. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
- 76', Wright C. ↓, Adeeko B. ↑,
- 77', Street R. 🟨,
- 79', Towler R. 🟨,
- 85', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
- 88', Trevitt R. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 88', Murray F. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City 36.6% | Draw 30.2% | Wigan Athletic 33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lincoln City's form might have worsened.Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.73 ↑ (2.23) |
3.21 ↓ (3.28) |
2.91 ↓ (3.26) |
2.3% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 40%). Wigan (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 0.
- Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Wigan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Bradley S.
(Red Card)
Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Wigan: Adams J.
(Knee Injury)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Miller K. L.
(Inactive)
Rankine D.
(Inactive)
Sze C.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Wigan: Carragher J.
(Surgery)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Wigan Athletic?
Lincoln City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Lincoln City?
Wigan Athletic has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
01.02.2025
Wigan Athletic
-
Lincoln City
1:1
21.09.2024
Lincoln City
-
Wigan Athletic
0:0
13.04.2024
Lincoln City
-
Wigan Athletic
1:2
09.12.2023
Wigan Athletic
-
Lincoln City
0:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two