Result
0:1
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 30
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (527/613) | 69% (239/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (527/613) | 69% (239/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (93/137) | 59% (76/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Moylan J. ⚽, McGrandles C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Murray F. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
- 66', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, House B. ↑,
- 66', Moylan J. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 74', Moxon O. 🟨,
- 75', Draper F. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 80', Taylor J. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
- 80', Moxon O. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
- 86', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 86', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 86', Wright C. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 90+4', Wickens G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wigan Athletic
28% | Draw
29.3% | Lincoln City
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lincoln City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lincoln City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↑
(2.66) |
3.18 ↑
(3.12) |
2.19 ↓
(2.58) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Lincoln (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1.
- Wigan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lincoln is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wigan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Wigan has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
- Lincoln might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Wigan: Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rogers J.
(Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Kerr J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Jackson A.
(Surgery)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Lincoln City?
Wigan Athletic has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Wigan Athletic?
Lincoln City has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City were as follows:
06.09.2025
Lincoln City
-
Wigan Athletic
2:2
01.02.2025
Wigan Athletic
-
Lincoln City
1:1
21.09.2024
Lincoln City
-
Wigan Athletic
0:0
13.04.2024
Lincoln City
-
Wigan Athletic
1:2
09.12.2023
Wigan Athletic
-
Lincoln City
0:0
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
