Cardiff City vs Wigan Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 25
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.14
Ball Possession
82%18%
Total shots
173
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
181
Passes
90% (658/732)60% (100/166)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.310.21
Total shots
173
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
181
Touches in opposition box
376
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
47
Passes
90% (658/732)60% (100/166)
Long passes
58% (26/45)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
82% (263/321)50% (22/44)
Crosses
18% (7/38)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.22
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
74
Tackles
73% (8/11)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4836
Clearances
1258
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.211.31
Goals prevented
0.210.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Chambers C. , Bagan J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Brenan T. , Asamoah M. ,
  • 72', Kellyman O. , Robinson C. ,
  • 73', Ashford C. , Tanner O. ,
  • 82', Costelloe D. , Saydee C. ,
  • 84', Lawlor D. , Fish W. ,
  • 90+4', Wright C. , Bettoni H. ,
  • 90+4', Weir J. , McManaman C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
56.6%
Draw
24.5%
Wigan Athletic
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 28.4% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 28.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.
  • Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cardiff City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (2.05)
    3.81
    (3.23)
    4.94
    (3.43)
    6.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Cardiff (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.02%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Personal Reasons) Colwill R. (Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wigan: Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Kerr J. (Inactive) Rogers J. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City 0:2
    14.01.2023 Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic 1:1
    08.10.2022 Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City 1:3
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two