Wisła Kraków vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Wisła Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Result
3:2
10/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
74
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
912
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
98
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Kuziemka M. , Krzyzanowski J. (A),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Gajgier A. , Kargulewicz K. (A),
  • 14', 2 - 1, Ertlthaler J. , Duda K. (A),
  • 31', 3 - 1, Biedrzycki W. , Almeida Duarte F. F. P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Wypart O. , Konstantyn J. ,
  • 46', Kargulewicz K. , Olewinski O. ,
  • 55', Szczepaniak M. , Lis J. ,
  • 62', Duda K. , Igbekeme J. ,
  • 62', Kuziemka M. , Sukiennicki O. ,
  • 66', Korczakowski I. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 73', 3 - 2, Gieroba S. , Adamski R. (A),
  • 77', Carbo M. , Grujcic D. ,
  • 77', Krzyzanowski J. , Staszak W. ,
  • 84', Adkonis J. , Jaron D. ,

Chances of winning


Wisła Kraków
67.8%
Draw
18.4%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 19.4% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3% 18.4% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Wisła Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.36)
    5.01
    (4.6)
    6.79
    (6)
    8.5%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Wisła Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła: 59.8%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Wisła is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Wisła will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Wisła Kraków
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla760128:72118
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    3Slask Wroclaw842213:13014
    4Polonia Bytom841312:11113
    5Pogon Siedlce83328:5312
    6Polonia Warszawa833214:14012
    7Grodzisk M832315:12311
    8LKS Lodz832313:12111
    9Tychy832314:14011
    10S. Rzeszow832313:13011
    11Stal Mielec832312:17-511
    12Chrobry Glogow824211:9210
    13Ruch Chorzow824211:10110
    14Legnica831413:17-410
    15Odra Opole82336:10-49
    16Puszcza80627:9-26
    17Leczna80539:17-85
    18Pruszkow81078:26-183

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2