Result
1:1
08/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Mucha S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (364/440) | 77% (278/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (364/440) | 77% (278/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 30% (17/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (107/155) | 53% (33/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/31) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Sekulski L. ⚽, Kun D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
- 59', Niski N. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 59', Popov V. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
- 68', Remacle M. ↓, Nono ↑,
- 72', Pacheco D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
- 73', Sekulski L. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
- 76', Matuszewski K. ↓, Ciszek K. ↑,
- 76', Smolarczyk B. ↓, Budnicki J. ↑,
- 81', Tavares T. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Sotiriou K. ⚽, Nono (A),
- 90', Nowak W. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
- 90', Rogelj Z. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 90+4', Niarchos G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
44.9% | Draw
29.4% | Wisła Płock
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.95) |
3.19 ↑
(3.09) |
3.64 ↑
(3.55) |
6.7%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wisła Płock will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2.
- Recent form of Korona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wisła Płock has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Korona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Korona: Blanik D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Korona: Davidovic S.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Korona won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Wisła Płock?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Korona Kielce?
Wisła Płock has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock were as follows:
19.07.2025
Wisła Płock
-
Korona Kielce
2:0
04.03.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Wisła Płock
1:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
