Result
3:1
20/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (434/492) | 83% (327/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (434/492) | 83% (327/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (41/60) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (145/168) | 72% (92/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 27% (8/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -1.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Pacheco D. ⚽, Haglind-Sangre M. (A),
- 39', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Sekulski L. ⚽, Rogelj Z. (A),
- 43', 3 - 0, Juric D. ⚽, Kun D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kasperkiewicz A. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
- 66', Strzalek I. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
- 71', Pacheco D. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
- 77', Fassbender M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 77', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Edmundsson A. (Own goal),
- 84', Sekulski L. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 84', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
- 84', Tavares T. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
- 89', Boboc R. ↓, Thiago Dombroski ↑,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock
48.2% | Draw
27.2% | Termalica Nieciecza
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.91) |
3.45 ↓
(3.58) |
3.82 ↓
(3.91) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Termalica will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Termalica (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 50%). Termalica (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 2.
- Wisła Płock is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Termalica has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Wisła Płock will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
Jimenez J.
(Foot Injury)
Nowak W.
(Yellow Cards)
Salvador I.
(Yellow Cards)
Wieckowski M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Termalica: Trubeha A.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Wisła Płock has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Wisła Płock?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
10.03.2025
Wisła Płock
-
Termalica Nieciecza
3:0
21.08.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Wisła Płock
4:2
02.03.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Wisła Płock
2:2
19.08.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Termalica Nieciecza
3:1
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
