Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
17/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStartimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiaMNC Soccer Channel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.930.97
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
43
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
96
Passes
86% (536/626)68% (182/269)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
0.930.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.191.28
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
98
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2922
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1210
Passes
86% (536/626)68% (182/269)
Long passes
58% (28/48)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
71% (120/170)53% (40/76)
Crosses
13% (3/23)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.261.05
Throw ins
2418
Fouls
1012
Tackles
38% (5/13)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
2638
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.281.19
Goals prevented
0.280.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Arnold M. 🟨,
  • 26', Busch M. 🟨,
  • 29', Dorsch N. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Beck A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zehnter A. ↓, Paredes K. ↑,
  • 58', Fohrenbach J. 🟨,
  • 59', Eriksen C. 🟨,
  • 59', Burger J. ↓, Kumbedi S. ↑,
  • 60', Majer L. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
  • 69', Paredes K. 🟨,
  • 71', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
  • 77', Beck A. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 77', Fohrenbach J. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Jenz M. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
  • 87', Pieringer M. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
  • 87', Dorsch N. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
  • 89', Lindstrom J. 🟨,
  • 90', Honsak M. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mu8rk2ha

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
56%		Draw
23.8%		Heidenheim
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 22.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 21.9% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Wolfsburg - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↑
    (1.59)    		 3.96 ↓
    (4.3)    		 4.7 ↓
    (5.3)    		 5.4%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 64.9% – 92.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Heidenheim (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Heidenheim (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolfsburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.
    • Wolfsburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Heidenheim is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wolfsburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Wolfsburg is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Muller M. (Injury) Seelt J. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Behrens H. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Heidenheim were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3
    29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1
    10.11.2024 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3
    20.01.2024 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:1
    19.08.2023 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 2:0
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    14.01.2026 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg 8:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:4 ✺
    13.12.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg 1:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    13.12.2025 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 292441105:277876
    2Dortmund29197360:293164
    3Stuttgart29175760:382256
    4RB Leipzig29175756:362056
    5Bayer Leverkusen29157759:392052
    6Hoffenheim29156857:431451
    7Eintracht Frankfurt29119954:54042
    8Freiburg291171142:47-540
    9Mainz29891235:44-933
    10Augsburg29961436:53-1733
    11Union Berlin29881333:50-1732
    12Hamburger SV297101232:45-1331
    13FC Koln29791343:50-730
    14B. Monchengladbach29791335:49-1430
    15Werder Bremen29771532:52-2028
    16St. Pauli29671625:50-2525
    17Wolfsburg29561839:65-2621
    18Heidenheim29471832:64-3219

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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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