Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3 |
Albania | SuperSport 5 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 5 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 4 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 6 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport OTT 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
United-kingdom | Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports F1, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (408/485) | 79% (310/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (408/485) | 79% (310/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (102/142) | 61% (57/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (12/44) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
- 30', 0 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
- 35', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 2, Larsen J. S. (Pen),
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Munetsi M. ⚽, Krejci L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 68', Andre ↓, Joao Gomes ↑,
- 68', Arias J. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
- 69', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
- 76', Hoever K. ↓, Tchatchoua J. ↑,
- 77', Anthony J. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
- 84', Munetsi M. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
- 85', Bueno S. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
- 90+3', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Ekdal H. ↑,
- 90+3', Florentino ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Foster L. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
Chances of winning
Wolverhampton Wanderers 49.3% | Draw 28.8% | Burnley 21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wolverhampton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↑ (1.93) |
3.35 ↓ (3.52) |
4.4 ↑ (4.12) |
3.5% (4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Wolverhampton (votes: 3 - 75%).
Users Predictions:
Wolverhampton Wanderers will win
(58 of 71 users predict this - 81.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 90.69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 2.
- Wolverhampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Burnley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Wolverhampton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Bellegarde J.
(Illness)
Hwang Hee-Chan
(Injury)
Okoduwa W.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L.
(Knock)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolverhampton Wanderers won against Burnley?
Wolverhampton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley were as follows:
28.08.2024
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
Burnley
2:0
02.04.2024
Burnley
-
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1:1
05.12.2023
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
Burnley
1:0
Latest results of Wolverhampton Wanderers
Latest results of Burnley
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:3 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Manchester Utd | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Brighton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leeds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Burnley | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Nottingham | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship