Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 7
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 6
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports F1, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.43
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (408/485)79% (310/394)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.441.88
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3520
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
712
Passes
84% (408/485)79% (310/394)
Long passes
56% (30/54)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
72% (102/142)61% (57/93)
Crosses
27% (12/44)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.20
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
127
Tackles
50% (7/14)42% (8/19)
Duels won
4753
Clearances
2442
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.882.44
Goals prevented
-1.120.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
  • 30', 0 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
  • 35', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 2, Larsen J. S. (Pen),
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Munetsi M. ⚽, Krejci L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', Andre ↓, Joao Gomes ↑,
  • 68', Arias J. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
  • 69', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
  • 76', Hoever K. ↓, Tchatchoua J. ↑,
  • 77', Anthony J. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
  • 84', Munetsi M. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
  • 85', Bueno S. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Ekdal H. ↑,
  • 90+3', Florentino ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Foster L. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),

Chances of winning


Wolverhampton Wanderers
49.3%		Draw
28.8%		Burnley
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.2% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 23.2% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wolverhampton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.96 ↑
    (1.93)    		 3.35 ↓
    (3.52)    		 4.4 ↑
    (4.12)    		 3.5%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Wolverhampton (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Wolverhampton (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Wolverhampton (1.22) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC, 1st Half - Wolverhampton (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Burnley (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Wolverhampton (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (58 of 71 users predict this - 81.69%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 90.69%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 33 - 86.8%). Burnley (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 2.
    • Wolverhampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Burnley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Wolverhampton is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Bellegarde J. (Illness) Hwang Hee-Chan (Injury) Okoduwa W. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L. (Knock)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley were as follows:
    28.08.2024 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley 2:0
    02.04.2024 Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1
    05.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley 1:0
    Latest results of Wolverhampton Wanderers
    18.10.2025 Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers 2:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton 2:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Burnley
    18.10.2025 Burnley - Leeds United 2:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Aston Villa - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Burnley - Cardiff City 1:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Burnley - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa31166942:37554
    5Liverpool311471050:42849
    6Chelsea31139953:381548
    7Brentford311371146:42446
    8Everton311371137:35246
    9Fulham311351343:44-144
    10Brighton3111101041:37443
    11Sunderland3111101032:36-443
    12Newcastle311261344:45-142
    13Bournemouth31915746:48-242
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham31881531:43-1232
    17Tottenham31791540:50-1030
    18West Ham31781636:57-2129
    19Burnley31481933:61-2820
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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