Result
2:2
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 32
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (401/487) | 83% (401/486) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (401/487) | 83% (401/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/57) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (64/99) | 77% (96/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Rathbone O. ⚽,
- 40', Rathbone O. 🟨,
- 44', Neto Borges 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Morsy S. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
- 46', Sykes M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 46', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Armstrong S. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
- 50', Struber G. 🟨,
- 54', Cleworth M. 🟨,
- 63', Horvat T. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
- 71', Randell A. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 71', Rathbone O. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
- 71', Smith S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
- 71', Broadhead N. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
- 73', Hyam D. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 2, Williams J. (Own goal),
- 89', 2 - 2, Bird M. ⚽, Knight J. (A),
- 90+1', Burgzorg D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol City
43.3% | Draw
27.4% | Wrexham
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Bristol City - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.01) |
3.45 ↓
(3.65) |
3.22 ↓
(3.38) |
5.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol City - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Wrexham will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 43.1% – 81.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).
- Bristol City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wrexham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Bristol City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M.
(Calf Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L.
(Thigh Injury)
James A.
(Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Cacace L.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bristol City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Wrexham?
Bristol City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Bristol City?
Wrexham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Wrexham were as follows:
26.11.2025
Wrexham
-
Bristol City
2:0
Latest results of Bristol City
Latest results of Wrexham
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
