Derby County vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 26
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.46
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
12	2
Passes
80% (346/431)	80% (329/413)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.73	0.97
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
12	2
Touches in opposition box
37	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
80% (346/431)	80% (329/413)
Long passes
34% (21/61)	22% (11/50)
Passes in final third
62% (78/125)	69% (67/97)
Crosses
26% (7/27)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.72
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
63% (5/8)	63% (15/24)
Duels won
42	59
Clearances
18	43
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.97	1.73
Goals prevented
-1.03	0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Smith S. ⚽, Broadhead N. (A),
30', Cleworth M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Clarke M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, James M. ⚽,
60', Brewster R. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
60', Agyemang P. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
60', Thompson L. ↓, Travis L. ↑,
60', Elder C. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
65', Windass J. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
69', James M. 🟨,
73', Sanderson D. 🟨,
75', Broadhead N. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
81', Sanderson D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
90', Smith S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90', Thomason G. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Derby County
41.9%

Draw
30.7%

Wrexham
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Derby County - Wrexham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)	3.07 ↓ (3.37)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)	6.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Derby County - Wrexham?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.9% – 64.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Derby (3.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Derby (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Derby (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
Recent performances by Derby have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wrexham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Derby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Hamstring Injury) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Hardie R. (Knee Injury) James A. (Injury) Kabore I. (International duty) Lee E. (Knee Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Moore K. (Injury) Windass J. (Inactive)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Wrexham?

Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Derby County?

Wrexham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Wrexham were as follows:

27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1

Latest results of Derby County

01.01.2026 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Leicester City - Derby County 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Birmingham City - Derby County 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺

15.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Wrexham

01.01.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham 0:2 ✺

29.12.2025 Wrexham - Preston North End 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Wrexham - Sheffield United 5:3 ✺

19.12.2025 Swansea City - Wrexham 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Wrexham - Watford 2:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	38	23	8	7	78:40	38	77
2	Middlesbrough	38	20	10	8	59:37	22	70
3	Ipswich	37	19	11	7	66:38	28	68
4	Millwall	38	20	8	10	52:43	9	68
5	Hull	38	19	6	13	59:56	3	63
6	Southampton	38	16	12	10	61:48	13	60
7	Wrexham	38	16	12	10	58:50	8	60
8	Derby	38	16	9	13	55:48	7	57
9	Watford	38	14	13	11	50:46	4	55
10	Birmingham	38	14	11	13	48:48	0	53
11	Swansea	38	15	7	16	44:46	-2	52
12	Norwich	38	15	6	17	51:46	5	51
13	Stoke	38	14	9	15	45:40	5	51
14	Bristol City	38	14	9	15	49:49	0	51
15	Sheffield Utd	38	15	5	18	53:52	1	50
16	QPR	38	14	8	16	49:60	-11	50
17	Preston	38	12	13	13	42:48	-6	49
18	Charlton	38	12	12	14	36:45	-9	48
19	Blackburn	38	11	9	18	36:49	-13	42
20	Portsmouth	37	10	10	17	36:48	-12	40
21	West Brom	38	10	10	18	39:54	-15	40
22	Oxford Utd	38	9	12	17	36:49	-13	39
23	Leicester	38	11	11	16	51:60	-9	38
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	38	1	9	28	23:76	-53	-6

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One