Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 7
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/448) | 77% (294/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/448) | 77% (294/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (109/144) | 61% (59/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', O'Brien L. 🟨,
- 13', Clarke M. 🟨,
- 36', Adams E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Travis L. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, O'Brien L. ⚽, Kabore I. (A),
- 63', Adams E. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
- 63', Weimann A. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
- 74', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 74', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
- 80', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
- 80', Kabore I. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
- 85', Ozoh D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Morris C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wrexham
46.3% | Draw
27.2% | Derby County
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Wrexham - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2) |
3.53 ↑
(3.4) |
3.62 ↓
(3.75) |
3.8%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wrexham - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Wrexham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Wrexham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L.
(Knock)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Leg Injury)
Ward D.
(Elbow Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brewster R.
(Injury)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O.
(Ankle Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Derby County?
Wrexham has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Wrexham?
Derby County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Derby County were as follows:
Latest results of Wrexham
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 17 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
