Derby County vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 26
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.46
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
12	2
Passes
80% (346/431)	80% (329/413)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.73	0.97
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
12	2
Touches in opposition box
37	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
80% (346/431)	80% (329/413)
Long passes
34% (21/61)	22% (11/50)
Passes in final third
62% (78/125)	69% (67/97)
Crosses
26% (7/27)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.72
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
63% (5/8)	63% (15/24)
Duels won
42	59
Clearances
18	43
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.97	1.73
Goals prevented
-1.03	0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Smith S. ⚽, Broadhead N. (A),
30', Cleworth M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Clarke M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, James M. ⚽,
60', Brewster R. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
60', Agyemang P. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
60', Thompson L. ↓, Travis L. ↑,
60', Elder C. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
65', Windass J. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
69', James M. 🟨,
73', Sanderson D. 🟨,
75', Broadhead N. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
81', Sanderson D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
90', Smith S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90', Thomason G. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Derby County
41.9%

Draw
30.7%

Wrexham
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Derby County - Wrexham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)	3.07 ↓ (3.37)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)	6.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Derby County - Wrexham?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.9% – 64.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Derby (3.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Derby (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Derby (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
Recent performances by Derby have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wrexham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Derby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Hamstring Injury) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Hardie R. (Knee Injury) James A. (Injury) Kabore I. (International duty) Lee E. (Knee Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Moore K. (Injury) Windass J. (Inactive)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Wrexham?

Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Derby County?

Wrexham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Wrexham were as follows:

27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1

Latest results of Derby County

01.01.2026 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Leicester City - Derby County 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Birmingham City - Derby County 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺

15.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Wrexham

01.01.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham 0:2 ✺

29.12.2025 Wrexham - Preston North End 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Wrexham - Sheffield United 5:3 ✺

19.12.2025 Swansea City - Wrexham 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Wrexham - Watford 2:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	34	20	8	6	70:37	33	68
2	Middlesbrough	34	18	9	7	51:34	17	63
3	Millwall	34	17	8	9	45:40	5	59
4	Ipswich	32	16	9	7	56:34	22	57
5	Hull	33	17	6	10	55:48	7	57
6	Wrexham	34	14	12	8	53:45	8	54
7	Southampton	34	13	11	10	54:45	9	50
8	Bristol City	34	14	8	12	47:42	5	50
9	Preston	34	12	13	9	41:38	3	49
10	Birmingham	34	13	10	11	45:43	2	49
11	Derby	34	13	9	12	49:45	4	48
12	Watford	34	12	12	10	43:40	3	48
13	Stoke	34	13	8	13	38:32	6	47
14	QPR	34	13	8	13	46:52	-6	47
15	Swansea	34	13	7	14	40:40	0	46
16	Sheffield Utd	34	14	3	17	48:48	0	45
17	Norwich	34	12	6	16	45:44	1	42
18	Charlton	34	10	11	13	33:43	-10	41
19	Portsmouth	33	10	9	14	34:43	-9	39
20	Blackburn	34	10	8	16	32:43	-11	38
21	West Brom	34	9	8	17	33:50	-17	35
22	Leicester	34	10	10	14	47:54	-7	34
23	Oxford Utd	34	6	11	17	29:46	-17	29
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	34	1	8	25	20:68	-48	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One