Result
4:3 penalties
09/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FA Cup - 1/32-finals
- Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
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 United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 2.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (343/444) | 87% (649/743) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 57 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (343/444) | 87% (649/743) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 57% (47/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (100/145) | 82% (232/282) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 29% (12/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 3.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 80 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 3.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Cacace L. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, Rathbone O. ⚽, Broadhead N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Zinchenko O. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
- 46', Bakwa D. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
- 46', McAtee J. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 60', Cacace L. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽, Savona N. (A),
- 69', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
- 69', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
- 69', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 1, Hyam D. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
- 76', 3 - 2, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽,
- 87', Hutchinson O. 🟨,
- 88', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
- 88', Douglas Luiz ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
- 88', Sheaf B. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 3, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽, Savona N. (A),
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
- 97', Savona N. ↓, Murillo ↑,
- 100', Smith S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 112', Morato 🟨,
- 112', Dominguez N. 🟨,
- 120', Windass J. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Windass J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Gibbs-White M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, McClean J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Igor Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Doyle C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Hudson-Odoi C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Thomason G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Williams N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Hutchinson O. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Wrexham
22.4% | Draw
25.8% | Nottingham Forest
51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nottingham Forest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Wrexham - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.19 ↓
(5.13) |
3.58 ↓
(3.97) |
1.81 ↑
(1.6) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wrexham - Nottingham Forest?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 26.2% – 69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Wrexham (3.75) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Wrexham (8.38) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Wrexham (3.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Wrexham (3.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Wrexham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nottingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Wrexham will win today's game, with odds of 4.06.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Nottingham Forest?
Wrexham has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Wrexham?
Nottingham Forest has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
Latest results of Wrexham
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
Draw
Main1/128-finals| 1 | Stoke | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Coventry | |
| 5 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Middlesbrough | |
| 9 | Stevenage | Chesterfield | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Crewe | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Southampton | |
| 13 | Cheltenham | Bradford City | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Buxton | Chatham | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Leicester | |
| 17 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Millwall | |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | Bye | |
| 23 | Gainsborough | Accrington | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Mansfield | Harrogate | 3 : 2 |
| 25 | Portsmouth | Bye | |
| 28 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 29 | Preston | Bye | |
| 31 | Wigan | Hemel Hempstead | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Spennymoor | Barrow | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Wrexham | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 37 | Ipswich | Bye | |
| 39 | Blackpool | Scunthorpe | 1 : 0 |
| 40 | Reading | Carlisle | 2 : 3 |
| 41 | Hull | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Blackburn | |
| 45 | Charlton | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 49 | Port Vale | Maldon & Tiptree | 5 : 1 |
| 50 | Bromley | Bristol Rovers | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Fleetwood | Barnet | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Luton | Forest Green | 4 : 3 |
| 53 | Bristol City | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Watford | |
| 57 | Colchester | MK Dons | 2 : 3 |
| 58 | Oldham | Northampton | 3 : 1 |
| 60 | Bye | Oxford Utd | |
| 61 | Everton | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Sunderland | |
| 65 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 69 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 72 | Bye | Bournemouth | |
| 73 | Manchester City | Bye | |
| 75 | FC Halifax | Exeter | 0 : 2 |
| 76 | Wycombe | Plymouth | 2 : 0 |
| 77 | Salford | Lincoln | 2 : 1 |
| 78 | Tamworth | Leyton Orient | 0 : 1 |
| 79 | Rotherham | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 80 | Bolton | Huddersfield | 2 : 1 |
| 81 | Grimsby | Ebbsfleet | 3 : 1 |
| 82 | Wealdstone | Southend | 1 : 0 |
| 83 | Chelmsford | Braintree | 4 : 1 |
| 84 | Weston-super-Mare | Aldershot | 2 : 1 |
| 85 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 87 | Sutton | AFC Telford | 2 : 1 |
| 88 | South Shields | Shrewsbury | 1 : 3 |
| 89 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 91 | Peterborough | Cardiff | 1 : 0 |
| 92 | Barnsley | York City | 3 : 2 |
| 93 | Manchester Utd | Bye | |
| 96 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 97 | Boreham Wood | Crawley | 3 : 0 |
| 98 | Newport | Gillingham | 3 : 2 |
| 99 | Brackley Town | Notts Co | 3 : 2 |
| 100 | Burton | St. Albans | 6 : 0 |
| 101 | West Ham | Bye | |
| 104 | Bye | QPR | |
| 105 | Slough | Altrincham | 2 : 1 |
| 106 | Macclesfield | AFC Totton | 6 : 3 |
| 108 | Bye | Crystal Palace | |
| 109 | Sheffield Wed | Bye | |
| 112 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 113 | Tranmere | Stockport County | 1 : 3 |
| 114 | Cambridge Utd | Chester | 3 : 0 |
| 116 | Bye | Birmingham | |
| 117 | Derby | Bye | |
| 120 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 121 | Norwich | Bye | |
| 123 | AFC Wimbledon | Gateshead | 0 : 2 |
| 124 | Eastleigh | Walsall | 0 : 3 |
| 125 | Swansea | Bye | |
| 128 | Bye | West Brom | |
1/64-finals| 1 | Stoke | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Coventry | |
| 3 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Middlesbrough | |
| 5 | Chesterfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Southampton | |
| 7 | Cheltenham | Buxton | 6 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Leicester | |
| 9 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Millwall | |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | Bye | |
| 12 | Accrington | Mansfield | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 15 | Preston | Bye | |
| 16 | Wigan | Barrow | 3 : 2 |
| 17 | Wrexham | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 19 | Ipswich | Bye | |
| 20 | Blackpool | Carlisle | 4 : 1 |
| 21 | Hull | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Blackburn | |
| 23 | Charlton | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 25 | Port Vale | Bristol Rovers | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Fleetwood | Luton | 3 : 2 |
| 27 | Bristol City | Bye | |
| 28 | Bye | Watford | |
| 29 | MK Dons | Oldham | 3 : 1 |
| 30 | Bye | Oxford Utd | |
| 31 | Everton | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Sunderland | |
| 33 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 35 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Bournemouth | |
| 37 | Manchester City | Bye | |
| 38 | Exeter | Wycombe | 4 : 0 |
| 39 | Salford | Leyton Orient | 4 : 0 |
| 40 | Swindon | Bolton | 4 : 0 |
| 41 | Grimsby | Wealdstone | 4 : 0 |
| 42 | Chelmsford | Weston-super-Mare | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 44 | Sutton | Shrewsbury | 1 : 2 |
| 45 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 46 | Peterborough | Barnsley | 0 : 1 |
| 47 | Manchester Utd | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 49 | Boreham Wood | Newport | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Brackley Town | Burton | 1 : 3 |
| 51 | West Ham | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | QPR | |
| 53 | Slough | Macclesfield | 1 : 3 |
| 54 | Bye | Crystal Palace | |
| 55 | Sheffield Wed | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 57 | Stockport County | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 1 |
| 58 | Bye | Birmingham | |
| 59 | Derby | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 61 | Norwich | Bye | |
| 62 | Gateshead | Walsall | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Swansea | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | West Brom | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Stoke | Coventry | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Fulham | Middlesbrough | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Southampton | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | Leicester | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Burnley | Millwall | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Sheffield Utd | Mansfield | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | Portsmouth | Arsenal | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Preston | Wigan | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Nottingham | 4 : 3 |
| 10 | Ipswich | Blackpool | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Hull | Blackburn | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Charlton | Chelsea | 1 : 5 |
| 13 | Port Vale | Fleetwood | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Bristol City | Watford | 5 : 1 |
| 15 | MK Dons | Oxford Utd | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Everton | Sunderland | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Tottenham | Aston Villa | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Newcastle | Bournemouth | 4 : 3 |
| 19 | Manchester City | Exeter | 10 : 1 |
| 20 | Salford | Swindon | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Grimsby | Weston-super-Mare | 3 : 2 |
| 22 | Wolves | Shrewsbury | 6 : 1 |
| 23 | Liverpool | Barnsley | 4 : 1 |
| 24 | Manchester Utd | Brighton | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Boreham Wood | Burton | 0 : 5 |
| 26 | West Ham | QPR | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Macclesfield | Crystal Palace | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Sheffield Wed | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cambridge Utd | Birmingham | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | Derby | Leeds | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Norwich | Walsall | 5 : 1 |
| 32 | Swansea | West Brom | 2 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Stoke | Fulham | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Southampton | Leicester | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Burnley | Mansfield | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Arsenal | Wigan | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | Wrexham | Ipswich | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Hull | Chelsea | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Port Vale | Bristol City | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | Sunderland | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | Newcastle | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Manchester City | Salford | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Grimsby | Wolves | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Liverpool | Brighton | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Burton | West Ham | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Macclesfield | Brentford | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Birmingham | Leeds | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Norwich | West Brom | 3 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fulham | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Mansfield | Arsenal | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Wrexham | Chelsea | 2 : 4 |
| 4 | Port Vale | Sunderland | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle | Manchester City | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Wolves | Liverpool | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | West Ham | Brentford | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Leeds | Norwich | 3 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Southampton | Arsenal | |
| 2 | Chelsea | Port Vale | |
| 3 | Manchester City | Liverpool | |
| 4 | West Ham | Leeds | |
