Wrexham vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
4:3 penalties
09/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.672.82
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
1731
Shots on target
710
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
87
Passes
77% (343/444)87% (649/743)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
2.672.82
xG on target (xGOT)
3.242.57
Total shots
1731
Shots on target
710
Shots off target
88
Blocked shots
213
Shots inside the box
1220
Shots outside the box
511
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
2357
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1210
Passes
77% (343/444)87% (649/743)
Long passes
38% (25/66)57% (47/83)
Passes in final third
69% (100/145)82% (232/282)
Crosses
35% (8/23)29% (12/41)
Expected assists (xA)
1.333.13
Throw ins
1525
Fouls
1012
Tackles
58% (15/26)57% (8/14)
Duels won
8059
Clearances
5317
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
74
xGOT faced
2.573.24
Goals prevented
-0.430.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Cacace L. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 0, Rathbone O. ⚽, Broadhead N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Zinchenko O. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
  • 46', Bakwa D. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
  • 46', McAtee J. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
  • 60', Cacace L. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽, Savona N. (A),
  • 69', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
  • 69', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
  • 69', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Hyam D. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
  • 76', 3 - 2, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽,
  • 87', Hutchinson O. 🟨,
  • 88', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
  • 88', Douglas Luiz ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
  • 88', Sheaf B. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
  • 89', 3 - 3, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽, Savona N. (A),
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
  • 97', Savona N. ↓, Murillo ↑,
  • 100', Smith S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
  • 112', Morato 🟨,
  • 112', Dominguez N. 🟨,
  • 120', Windass J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Windass J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Gibbs-White M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, McClean J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Igor Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Doyle C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Hudson-Odoi C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Thomason G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Williams N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Hutchinson O. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Wrexham
22.4%		Draw
25.8%		Nottingham Forest
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 23.5% 58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1% 22.4% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nottingham Forest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
    •

    Wrexham - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.19 ↓
    (5.13)    		 3.58 ↓
    (3.97)    		 1.81 ↑
    (1.6)    		 7.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Nottingham Forest?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 26.2% – 69%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Wrexham (3.75) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Wrexham (8.38) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Wrexham (3.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Wrexham (3.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Wrexham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nottingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Wrexham will win today's game, with odds of 4.06.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Wrexham
    04.01.2026 Derby County - Wrexham 1:2 ✺
    01.01.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham 0:2 ✺
    29.12.2025 Wrexham - Preston North End 2:1 ✺
    26.12.2025 Wrexham - Sheffield United 5:3 ✺
    19.12.2025 Swansea City - Wrexham 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    06.01.2026 West Ham United - Nottingham Forest 1:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 3:1 ✺
    30.12.2025 Nottingham Forest - Everton 0:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    22.12.2025 Fulham - Nottingham Forest 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17TottenhamBye
    20ByeAston Villa
    21NewcastleBye
    24ByeBournemouth
    25Manchester CityBye
    27FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    28WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    29SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    30TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    31RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    32BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49BurnleyBye
    52ByeMillwall
    53Sheffield UtdBye
    55GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    56MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    57PortsmouthBye
    60ByeArsenal
    61PrestonBye
    63WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    64SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    65GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    66WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    67ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    68Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    69WolvesBye
    71SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    72South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    73LiverpoolBye
    75PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    76BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    77Manchester UtdBye
    80ByeBrighton
    81Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    82BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    83FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    84LutonForest Green4 : 3
    85Bristol CityBye
    88ByeWatford
    89ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    90OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    92ByeOxford Utd
    93EvertonBye
    96ByeSunderland
    97WrexhamBye
    100ByeNottingham
    101IpswichBye
    103BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    104ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    105HullBye
    108ByeBlackburn
    109CharltonBye
    112ByeChelsea
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9TottenhamBye
    10ByeAston Villa
    11NewcastleBye
    12ByeBournemouth
    13Manchester CityBye
    14ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    15SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    16SwindonBolton4 : 0
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25BurnleyBye
    26ByeMillwall
    27Sheffield UtdBye
    28AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    29PortsmouthBye
    30ByeArsenal
    31PrestonBye
    32WiganBarrow3 : 2
    33GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    34ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    35WolvesBye
    36SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    37LiverpoolBye
    38PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    39Manchester UtdBye
    40ByeBrighton
    41Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    42FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    43Bristol CityBye
    44ByeWatford
    45MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    46ByeOxford Utd
    47EvertonBye
    48ByeSunderland
    49WrexhamBye
    50ByeNottingham
    51IpswichBye
    52BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    53HullBye
    54ByeBlackburn
    55CharltonBye
    56ByeChelsea
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    6NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    7Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    8SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    14Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    15PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    16PrestonWigan0 : 1
    17GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    18WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    19LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    20Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    21Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    22Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    23MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    24EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    25WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    26IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    27HullBlackburn1 : 0
    28CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    4Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    8ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    9GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    10LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    11Port ValeBristol City
    12Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    13WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    14HullChelsea0 : 4
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton
    2NewcastleManchester City
    3West HamBrentford
    4MansfieldArsenal
    5WolvesLiverpool
    6TBD #11Sunderland
    7WrexhamChelsea
    8LeedsNorwich
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