Wrexham vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 21
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.83
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
74% (336/453)75% (329/436)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.911.10
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3313
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
910
Passes
74% (336/453)75% (329/436)
Long passes
44% (38/86)38% (23/61)
Passes in final third
61% (93/153)59% (64/109)
Crosses
24% (8/34)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.45
Throw-ins
3527
Fouls
109
Tackles
70% (14/20)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5958
Clearances
3633
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.100.91
Goals prevented
-0.90-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Windass J. , James M. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Doumbia M. , Maamma O. (A),
  • 38', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 2, Maamma O. , Bola M. (A),
  • 45', Bola M. 🟨,
  • 45', Windass J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Alleyne M. 🟨,
  • 62', O'Brien L. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 62', James M. , Sheaf B. ,
  • 73', Maamma O. , Chakvetadze G. ,
  • 73', Kjerrumgaard L. , Semedo V. ,
  • 78', Dobson G. , Hardie R. ,
  • 78', McClean J. , Barnett R. ,
  • 81', Chakvetadze G. 🟨,
  • 82', Doumbia M. 🟨,
  • 83', Abankwah J. , Keben K. ,
  • 89', Kayembe E. , Sissoko M. ,
  • 90', Hyam D. , Rathbone O. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Rathbone O. ,
  • 90+3', Louza I. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Sheaf B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wrexham
33.8%
Draw
27.7%
Watford
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 27.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 27.3% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wrexham's form might have worsened.
  • Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Watford's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Watford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Wrexham - Watford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.22)
    3.44
    (3.47)
    2.48
    (3.14)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Watford will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1%75.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Wrexham (1.99) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 3 - 75%). Watford (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Cacace L. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Kabore I. (Inactive) Lee E. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Selvik E. (Shoulder Injury) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Wrexham
    10.12.2025 Hull City - Wrexham 2:0
    29.11.2025 Wrexham - Blackburn Rovers 1:1
    26.11.2025 Wrexham - Bristol City 2:0
    22.11.2025 Ipswich Town - Wrexham 0:0
    Latest results of Watford
    06.12.2025 Watford - Norwich City 3:2
    01.12.2025 Birmingham City - Watford 2:1
    22.11.2025 Derby County - Watford 2:3
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry34208670:373368
    2Middlesbrough34189751:341763
    3Millwall34178945:40559
    4Ipswich32169756:342257
    5Hull331761055:48757
    6Wrexham341412853:45854
    7Southampton3413111054:45950
    8Bristol City341481247:42550
    9Preston341213941:38349
    10Birmingham3413101145:43249
    11Derby341391249:45448
    12Watford3412121043:40348
    13Stoke341381338:32647
    14QPR341381346:52-647
    15Swansea341371440:40046
    16Sheffield Utd341431748:48045
    17Norwich341261645:44142
    18Charlton3410111333:43-1041
    19Portsmouth331091434:43-939
    20Blackburn341081632:43-1138
    21West Brom34981733:50-1735
    22Leicester3410101447:54-734
    23Oxford Utd346111729:46-1729
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 34182520:68-48-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One