Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/10/2025 at  07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 28
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 China | Migu | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.48 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 62% | 38% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (352/437) | 73% (196/268) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.48 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.23 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 17 | 12 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 18 | 19 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (352/437) | 73% (196/268) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 40% (30/75) | 35% (19/55) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 57% (59/103) | 50% (40/80) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 24% (4/17) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.22 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 31 | 14 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 19 | 18 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 63% (12/19) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 43 | 62 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 25 | 47 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.11 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.89 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 26', Chen Z. ↓, Luo Kaisa ↑, 
 - 32', Zhu Yueqi 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 1)
 - 54', 1 - 0, Zhong Wen ⚽, Yuan Z. (A), 
 - 58', Li L. ↓, Wang Ziyang ↑, 
 - 58', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑, 
 - 62', 1 - 1, Tursun Qeyser ⚽, 
 - 68', Liu Zhizhi ↓, Qian Junhao ↑, 
 - 73', Huang Z. ↓, Shi Z. ↑, 
 - 73', Li Mingjie ↓, Ruoke Xiang ↑, 
 - 77', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Shang K. ↑, 
 - 77', Beshathan Zanhar ↓, Xu Chunqing ↑, 
 - 81', Hai J. ↓, Hu H. ↑, 
 - 88', Gao Jingchun ↓, Gong Hankui ↑, 
 - 90+13', Shang K. 🟨, 
 - 90+14', He Wei 🟨, 
 - 90+18', 2 - 1, Zhong Wen (Pen), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Shenzhen  25.8% | Draw  29.3% | Wuxi Wugou  44.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Shenzhen - Wuxi Wugou Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   3.6 ↑ (2.48) | 
			   3.17 ↑ (3.12) | 
			   2.07 ↓ (2.59) | 
			   7.6% (11.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Shenzhen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - Wuxi Wugou is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
 - Wuxi Wugou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
 - In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Wuxi Wugou?
                    
                    
                        
                            Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Wuxi Wugou won against Shenzhen?
                    
                    
                        
                             Wuxi Wugou has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen - Wuxi Wugou were as follows:
                                                        
                                31.08.2025 
                                Wuxi Wugou 
                                - 
                                Shenzhen 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Shenzhen                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Wuxi Wugou                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62:17 | 45 | 73 | 
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 42:18 | 24 | 64 | 
| 3 | Shenzhen | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 55 | 
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 | 
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 | 
| 6 | Nantong Haimen | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 52:34 | 18 | 49 | 
| 7 | Shandong Taishan B | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 48 | 
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 41 | 
      Promotion ~ League One