Result
4:2
15/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Calderon R. ⚽,
- 21', Escobar J. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 39', Aparicio J. ↓, Quiros D. ↑,
- 44', Silva D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Ceballos M. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽,
- 61', 4 - 0, Romero M. ⚽,
- 63', 4 - 1, Casas D. ⚽,
- 66', Cifuentes A. 🟨,
- 74', Calderon R. ↓, Cardona J. ↑,
- 74', Cardenas S. ↓, Jaen Y. ↑,
- 74', Lopez A. ↓, Tebalan W. ↑,
- 77', Chuc D. 🟨,
- 77', 4 - 2, Estrada C. ⚽,
- 83', Chuc D. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 88', Diaz Y. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
- 88', Escobar J. ↓, Mencia R. ↑,
- 90+2', Lopez C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Xelajú
66.7% | Draw
22.6% | Marquense
10.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xelajú that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Xelajú - Marquense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.4) |
4.05 ↑
(3.95) |
8.55 ↑
(7.07) |
9.5%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Xelajú - Marquense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Xelajú (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Xelajú (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Xelajú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Xelajú is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Xelajú won against Marquense?
Xelajú has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marquense won against Xelajú?
Marquense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Xelajú - Marquense were as follows:
05.11.2025
Marquense
-
Xelajú
1:0
31.08.2025
Xelajú
-
Marquense
3:1
20.04.2025
Marquense
-
Xelajú
1:0
16.02.2025
Xelajú
-
Marquense
0:0
19.10.2024
Marquense
-
Xelajú
1:2
Latest results of Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xelaju | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Coban Imperial | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Comunicaciones | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo Mixco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Municipal | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Antigua | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Mictlan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11:18 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
