Kairat vs Yelimay Semey – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Kairat - Yelimay Semey
Result
2:3
16/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
347
Throw-ins
1837
Fouls
624
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Edmilson Santos , Gromyko V. (A),
  • 19', Odeoyibo S. , Zhumakhanov A. ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Edmilson Santos , Gromyko V. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Sviridov I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
  • 60', Tyulyubay A. , Berezkin E. ,
  • 61', Payruz Z. , Maicom D. ,
  • 61', Kurgin L. , Satpaev D. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Placca F. , Maicom D. (A),
  • 73', Edmilson Santos , Ricardinho ,
  • 75', Orazov R. 🟨,
  • 80', Arad O. , Baybek O. ,
  • 80', Gromyko V. , Stanojev J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Placca F. , Kenzhebek G. (A),
  • 86', Sviridov I. , Murtazaev R. ,
  • 87', Belancic M. , Bakhtiyarov A. ,
  • 90+4', Koval M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kairat
53.5%
Draw
26.2%
Yelimay Semey
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 23.3% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4% 22.3% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat's form might have worsened.
  • Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yelimay Semey's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kairat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yelimay Semey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kairat - Yelimay Semey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.5)
    3.55
    (4.03)
    4.58
    (6.74)
    7.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kairat - Yelimay Semey?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Yelimay will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Yelimay (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
    • Kairat is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Yelimay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Yelimay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kairat is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Kairat will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kairat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Yelimay Semey were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Yelimay Semey - Kairat 1:0
    03.08.2024 Kairat - Yelimay Semey 4:1
    19.05.2024 Yelimay Semey - Kairat 1:1
    Latest results of Kairat
    12.08.2025 Slovan Bratislava - Kairat 1:1
    06.08.2025 Kairat - Slovan Bratislava 1:0
    02.08.2025 Kairat - Ulytau 1:0
    29.07.2025 Kairat - KuPS Kuopio 3:0
    26.07.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 1:3
    Latest results of Yelimay Semey
    10.08.2025 Yelimay Semey - Aktobe 2:1
    02.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    26.07.2025 Yelimay Semey - Zhetysu 3:0
    19.07.2025 Yelimay Semey - Zhenis 1:2
    12.07.2025 Ulytau - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana21144352:203246
    2Kairat Almaty21144342:172546
    3Tobol21135337:191844
    4Aktobe21123632:191339
    5Yelimay Semey22115633:221138
    6Okzhetpes2395931:31032
    7Zhenis22710527:21631
    8Ordabasy2287727:22531
    9Kyzylzhar2359924:30-624
    10Zhetysu Taldykorgan22481017:34-1720
    11Kaisar Kyzylorda22310920:37-1719
    12Ulytau21451213:31-1817
    13Turan22431515:41-2615
    14Atyrau23361414:40-2615

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League