Result
1:0
03/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Bugulov G. ⚽, Malikaydar S. (A),
- 31', Martin D. 🟨,
- 31', Nepogodov D. 🟨,
- 32', Miladinovic I. 🟨,
- 32', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
- 41', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
- 42', Kishi K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Placca F. 🟨,
- 65', Bugulov G. ↓, Chalkin M. ↑,
- 66', Ilic H. ↓, Berezkin E. ↑,
- 66', Placca F. ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
- 66', Palacio D. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
- 71', Taubay A. 🟨,
- 77', Miladinovic I. ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
- 83', Smith A. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
- 83', Harada H. ↓, Abylaykhan R. ↑,
- 90+3', Bougnone A. ↓, Nursultanov K. ↑,
- 90+3', Kishi K. ↓, Afanasenko V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ulytau
24% | Draw
26.2% | Yelimay Semey
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yelimay Semey's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yelimay Semey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ulytau - Yelimay Semey Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(3.17) |
3.47 ↑
(3.03) |
1.83 ↓
(2.27) |
9.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ulytau - Yelimay Semey?
Users Predictions:
Yelimay Semey will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Yelimay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Yelimay might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulytau won against Yelimay Semey?
Ulytau has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yelimay Semey won against Ulytau?
Yelimay Semey has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulytau - Yelimay Semey were as follows:
12.07.2025
Ulytau
-
Yelimay Semey
1:1
12.04.2025
Ulytau
-
Yelimay Semey
0:3
06.04.2025
Yelimay Semey
-
Ulytau
3:0
Latest results of Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Ulytau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Astana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
