Yelimay Semey vs Zhenis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
138
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
23
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1130
Throw-ins
3233
Fouls
259
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Sviridov I. , Odeoyibo S. (A),
  • 24', Rolon K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Kuat I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', Maicom D. , Tyulyubay A. ,
  • 63', Rolon K. , Bakhtiyarov A. ,
  • 65', Baltabekov A. , Nabikhanov A. ,
  • 65', Karaman D. , Lobjanidze E. ,
  • 73', Orazov R. 🟨,
  • 74', Sovet S. 🟨,
  • 74', Kenzhebek G. 🟨,
  • 76', Placca F. , Murtazaev R. ,
  • 76', Adil A. , Sadovski U. ,
  • 79', Orazov R. , Berezkin E. ,
  • 86', Sovet S. , Berdibek D. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Lobjanidze E. , Rom M. (A),
  • 90', Adambaev A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Saulet A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Adilio , Lobjanidze E. (A),
  • 90+5', Adilio 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yelimay Semey
46.4%
Draw
29.2%
Zhenis
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 29.2% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 33.2% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yelimay Semey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zhenis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Yelimay Semey - Zhenis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.88)
    3.22
    (3.22)
    3.85
    (4.52)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey - Zhenis?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yelimay will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Zhenis will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yelimay: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yelimay (votes: 1 - 50%). Zhenis (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Yelimay (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Yelimay (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zhenis (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
    • Recent performances by Yelimay have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zhenis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Yelimay is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yelimay Semey - Zhenis were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Zhenis - Yelimay Semey 0:1
    27.07.2024 Yelimay Semey - Zhenis 1:0
    04.05.2024 Zhenis - Yelimay Semey 1:2
    26.09.2023 Zhenis - Yelimay Semey 0:3
    10.06.2023 Yelimay Semey - Zhenis 3:2
    Latest results of Yelimay Semey
    Latest results of Zhenis
    13.07.2025 Zhenis - Zhetysu 3:1
    05.07.2025 Zhenis - Ulytau 2:0
    29.06.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis 2:2
    25.06.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis 2:1
    21.06.2025 Zhenis - Atyrau 2:0
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kairat Almaty53207:1611
    2Yelimay Semey53208:3511
    3Okzhetpes53209:5411
    4Ordabasy52308:449
    5Kyzylzhar52218:448
    6FC Astana52217:618
    7Ulytau52215:418
    8Atyrau51404:227
    9Aktobe52127:707
    10Ertis Pavlodar51317:706
    11Zhetysu Taldykorgan51224:7-35
    12Kaisar Kyzylorda50321:5-43
    13Zhenis50322:8-63
    14Altai50232:5-32
    15Tobol50234:10-62
    16Kaspij Aktau50142:7-51

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League