Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (309/362) | 88% (465/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (309/362) | 88% (465/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/128) | 74% (74/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.49 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Tono D. ⚽,
- 24', Tashiro M. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Fujimoto K. ⚽, Miki T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Miyaichi R. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
- 46', Tashiro M. ↓, Kamijima T. ↑,
- 67', Zahedi S. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
- 67', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 69', Amano J. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
- 69', Tono D. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 75', Nago S. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Miki T. ⚽, Maejima Y. (A),
- 88', Yan ↓, Elber ↑,
- 89', Matsubara K. 🟨,
- 90', Konno K. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
42% | Draw
29.3% | Yokohama F. Marinos
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.23) |
3.19 ↑
(3.09) |
3.23 ↓
(3.45) |
7.1%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Avispa Fukuoka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Yokohama FM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Avispa Fukuoka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
Yuzawa M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Jean Claude
(Yellow Cards)
Kida T.
(Contusion)
Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Muscle Injury)
Suzuki T.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Quinones J.
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:19 (average 0.6:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
26.06.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
01.03.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
28.10.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
0:4
28.05.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:0
10.09.2022
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
