Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka
Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
72% (201/281)84% (422/501)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.26
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1721
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
72% (201/281)84% (422/501)
Long passes
29% (17/59)51% (35/68)
Passes in final third
60% (59/99)67% (84/126)
Crosses
33% (4/12)31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.00
Throw-ins
1618
Fouls
1116
Tackles
73% (8/11)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5261
Clearances
3825
Interceptions
51
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.261.38
Goals prevented
0.26-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, David D. , Croux J. (A),
  • 26', Zahedi S. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Tsunoda R. , Croux J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nago S. , Wellington ,
  • 46', Nara T. , Ando T. ,
  • 54', Zahedi S. , Ben Khalifa N. ,
  • 55', David D. , Tanimura K. ,
  • 63', Yuzawa M. 🟨,
  • 66', Fujimoto K. , Akino H. ,
  • 67', Uenaka A. , Amano J. ,
  • 67', Croux J. , Yuri Araujo ,
  • 69', Inoue K. 🟨,
  • 76', Yuzawa M. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 81', Sekitomi K. , Suwama K. ,
  • 81', Kida T. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 83', Ben Khalifa N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
41.7%
Draw
31.2%
Avispa Fukuoka
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 28.2% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 28.6% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.52)
    3.25
    (3.38)
    3.86
    (2.82)
    -1.1%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Yokohama FM (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2.
    • Yokohama FM has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Avispa Fukuoka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Suzuki T. (Red Card) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Kamijima T. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    26.06.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    01.03.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    28.10.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:4
    28.05.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    13Verdy351191522:36-1442
    14Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

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