Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (201/281) | 84% (422/501) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (201/281) | 84% (422/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/59) | 51% (35/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/99) | 67% (84/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 31% (9/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, David D. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
- 26', Zahedi S. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Tsunoda R. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nago S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 46', Nara T. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
- 54', Zahedi S. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
- 55', David D. ↓, Tanimura K. ↑,
- 63', Yuzawa M. 🟨,
- 66', Fujimoto K. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
- 67', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 67', Croux J. ↓, Yuri Araujo ↑,
- 69', Inoue K. 🟨,
- 76', Yuzawa M. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 81', Sekitomi K. ↓, Suwama K. ↑,
- 81', Kida T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 83', Ben Khalifa N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos
41.7% | Draw
31.2% | Avispa Fukuoka
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.52) |
3.25 ↓
(3.38) |
3.86 ↑
(2.82) |
-1.1%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FM (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2.
- Yokohama FM has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Avispa Fukuoka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Suzuki T.
(Red Card)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Kamijima T.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
12.04.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
26.06.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
01.03.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
28.10.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
0:4
28.05.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:0
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
