Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	1.28
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
84% (419/501)	82% (339/413)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	1.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.33	1.41
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
34	26
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
84% (419/501)	82% (339/413)
Long passes
41% (23/56)	38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
76% (127/168)	72% (96/134)
Crosses
56% (5/9)	15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	1.37
Throw-ins
18	16
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
67% (8/12)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
42	41
Clearances
31	24
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.41	2.33
Goals prevented
0.41	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', Yuri Araujo ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
58', Onaiwu G. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
58', Suzuki T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
58', Yamashita R. ↓, Welton ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Amano J. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Mitsuta M. ⚽, Handa R. (A),
69', Yamane R. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
73', Tanimura K. ↓, David D. ↑,
73', Suzuki T. ↓, Tsunoda R. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Usami T. ⚽,
85', Juan Alano ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
85', Usami T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
86', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
90+1', Deng T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
57.1%

Draw
23%

Yokohama F. Marinos
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gamba Osaka's performance.

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4%)

Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	4.11 ↑ (3.88)	4.75 ↑ (3.89)	5% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gamba Osaka will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
Gamba Osaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Yokohama FM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gamba Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Gamba Osaka is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
We predict that Gamba Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Gamba Osaka?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:

16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0

27.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:3

06.07.2024 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 4:0

10.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0

12.08.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:1

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

17.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Eastern AA 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 4:5 ✺

23.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC 3:2 ✺

20.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

20.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3 ✺

07.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 1:4 ✺

30.08.2025 Vissel Kobe - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

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